Dear @feministabulous I've just read your article on the Gender Gap disappearing based on the Exit Poll.
If what you are saying is correct then a 54 year trend of women voting at higher numbers in U.S. elections than men has reversed itself.
If what you are saying is correct then a 54 year trend of women voting at higher numbers in U.S. elections than men has reversed itself.
For this to have happened in the re-election of a horrific racist mysogynist whose election sparked the largest women's mobilisation in 2017 seems a bit odd.
I noticed this on election night and drew a couple of slides to explain the math which is pretty simple.
Only one of these two facts can be correct:
1. the 2020 exit poll on gender split (which exactly matched 2016).
Or
2. the polling data which predicted a 20% gender gap.
Only one of these two facts can be correct:
1. the 2020 exit poll on gender split (which exactly matched 2016).
Or
2. the polling data which predicted a 20% gender gap.
The 47/53 exit poll number matches the long term trend. And I expect it can also be checked against actual voting data somewhere.
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