@MartinKulldorff @mlipsitch
just wanted to show you how focused protection really works in the real world.

It doesn't.

But why?

📌 Many nursing home workers are poorly paid and work in multiple facilities.
📌 These facilities have poor ventilation. Aerosols are
the primary driver of CoVid.
📌 There are huge numbers of private nursing homes and it is ludicrous to suggest that those for-profit operators would pay their workers to live on-site. (Plus, those workers have families, are single parents, etc).

Americans are 38% obese.
40% hypertensive. How do you provide focused protection to almost half of the country?

How?

You won't be replying, because you can't answer that.

Because it is impossible.

But you know what is possible?

Reinfections. Genomically proven because #FactsMatter.
And the reinfections are starting to look like they are even more deadly than the initial. (Preprints are out showing this).

#LongCovid - it affects 10% of all infected, the last study I read.

You never ever touch this topic.

I wish the GBD was possible. But it's not.

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More from @LazarusLong13

9 Nov
Sigh...

Truckers may be frustrated, but I don't think they understand their fellow Americans.

Namely, Koch, Adelson, and the other Republican rich.

Trucking shuts down, Oil/Gas shuts down (Koch).

Oil/gas shuts down, Las Vegas shuts down (Adelson).

Trucking shuts down,
Walmart shuts down (Waltons), small town America shuts down.

So, the majority of Americans did vote against Trump, so they will be livid after having to live with him for 4, very unhappy years.

The rich (see above) will be livid because they will be losing money.
The red states will be livid because it turns out Covid is real, and medicine/ PPE shortages will result in people being turned away from the hospitals as doctors also get sick/ population rolls into the hospitals. Looks great on TV to see people falling down dead on the str.
Read 8 tweets
9 Nov
Please sign and retweet/share on social media this petition to get the World Health Organization to clearly acknowledge that CoVid is airborne (they haven't fully), and be crystal clear about why they are urging masks and ventilation:
covidisairborne.org/home

Here's why:
Person A walks up to you on the street, and says - "Here, wear this mask."

Or, Person B walks up to you and says, "Hey - when we breath, talk, or sing, we're kicking out tiny contagious particles of Covid. If you wear this mask, if you happen to be sick, you are much less" Image
likely to make your parents sick. AND if someone else is sick, then you are much less likely to get sick yourself."

Which person do you listen to?

Right now, the World Health Organization is Person A.

THEY NEED TO BE PERSON B.
Read 10 tweets
8 Nov
After the walking disaster that is Pence, Atlas, Redfield, I decided to do some research on Biden's possible taskforce.

And am going to be able to sleep easily :).

Dr. Emanuel is on board with aerosols
cohenmedical.com/staying-safe-f…
medicalxpress.com/news/2020-07-p…
ezekielemanuel.com/writing/all-ar…
Dr. Gounder - on board with aerosols:


Dr. Marcella Nunez-Smith - on board with masks, unclear with aerosols
healio.com/public-health/…
fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-s…

Dr. Kessler and Dr. Morita - look very, very solid.
Finally, took a look at Biden's Covid-19 plan:
joebiden.com/covid19/

DPA for testing and masks. (<--hey @UniversalMaski2)

And much more - but most importantly, listen to the science.

2021 is shaping up to be a much better year.
Read 5 tweets
7 Nov
@apoorva_nyc @JenniferJJacobs @Acosta @KBeds @DrBiden

This is to illustrate that interior spaces are to be avoided and Biden needs an Aerosol Advisor.

Any single person at the 400 person event would have had a 43.55% chance of getting it.
This is based on @akm5376 & @FedericoTartar1's aerosol risk calculator:

covid-infection-risk.netlify.app/indoor

Also, used in my previous analysis of the #CovidCotillions aka the Rose Garden Massacre:

.

You can see the assumptions made below. ImageImage
If I do have your attention - aerosol scientists typically do NOT recommend plexiglass shields as protection (the vice-presidential debate).

& I wonder why the Secret Service let this party proceed given the above %'s? I think they also need an Aerosol Advisor.

We
Read 5 tweets
10 Aug
1/
Sturgis, South Dakota-250,000 aerosol-generating people, this weekend.

When you look at those bikes, their owners are crammed into bars with very little ventilation.

As you click on each, you can click on the right or left side to go forward or back.
story.snapchat.com/s/o:W7_EDlXWTB…
3/

And this is why these Sturgis biker bar scenes are going to be deadly anywhere from 2 weeks to 1 month out:

1. Not a single mask to be seen indoors.

2.....ah, Dr. Marr's tweet nails it perfectly:



Please #WearAMask.
Read 12 tweets
14 Jun
1/
A long thread on masks. Even DIY Masks work - and how to get the best mask possible, even if you have to make it.

I address some common misconceptions, touch on the science, lay out how to DIY Masks with information from aerosol scientists and engineers, and give solutions
2/
to problems that come with wearing masks.

Note: the eyes can also be a target for the virus, so sealed goggles are recommended. And you don't want to get any mask wet, so wear a faceshield as well to protect the mask from rain.

No mask is 100%, especially if you have
3/
unmasked people around you. Even if you have a mask on, avoid indoor locations and social distance. Although, there is at least one recorded case of CoVid being contracted within 15 seconds in a semi-outdoor location:
archive.is/PJrdl

You may say, "CO2? Bacteria?
Read 34 tweets

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