Thread by @PhillipsPOBrien

A quick thread on the election result--once again on how it is the non-religious who are the crucial voting block. In other words, its the heathens that won it for Biden.

first off--its becoming clearer that the key demographic shift in this election was the movement of white men (particularly college educated) to back Biden.

ft.com/content/69f320…

there definitely does seem to have been a small movement of African-American and Hispanic voters towards Trump, but this was more than made up for by the movement of whites who had backed Biden in 2016 to Biden.

The movement of college educated whites to Biden seems to be why he won both Wisconsin and Michigan (if they dont switch, Trump remains president)

And what do we know about such white voters; they are (with the exception of Asian-Americans) the largest group to have weak or no religious belief: approximately 19% of whites seriously doubt the existence of god

Moreover, it does seem the atheistic/agnostic white turned out in larger numbers than their share of the population. 22% of voters in this election claimed no religious identity and they backed Biden 2-1

Makes sense as the growth of the non-religious is far faster than any other group--be it ethnic or economic. The number of non-religious has gone up by more than 50% in about a decade

While we were looking at this election as one to swing on race or ethnicity--religious belief more than anything determined the result. Trump made enough advances African-American or Hispanic support to be reelected, had US religious belief had not declined over the last decade.