1. I'm not sure if people understand what is going on within the Trump camp & the bowels of the GOP. The point of the "count the legal but not the illegal ballots" talking point is to normalize to their electorate that some segment of counted votes are fraudulent. Their hope is
2. to convince state legislators in PA, MI, and WI where the GOP holds majorities to refuse to send Biden electors. Yes, this violates state laws. Yes, the courts will invalidate their claims. But their hope is that over a month they'll have accomplished what they've
3. accomplished w @Comey, Bob Mueller, Ukraine, Hunter Biden, Benghazi, & so many other things- simply by using control of the airwaves (Fox News, talk radio, internet- it is an impressive propaganda network) they can convince their half of the electorate that the ends justify
4. the means. Will these state reps TAKE that step? We're not talking a couple thousand ballots, we're talking about massive Biden advantages that have to be "disqualified" by fake claims of fraud. The only close states were all run by the GOP! IDK. But I do suspect they will try
Keep in mind, Trump is stupid, Barr and @GOPChairwoman are not. @MarkMeadows is an ideologue, but not stupid. These firings & resignations- they're a sign, guys. And our biggest weakness, BY FAR, is our inability to accept the depths of corruption the GOP is willing to sink to.
5. Take a sec to stop, look retrospectively back at where we are from where we came in 2015/2016, look what the GOP has not only tolerated but embraced under Trumpism (you've got @LindseyGrahamSC cheerleading stuff CIA has briefed him originates from the Kremlin for God's sake!"
6. As I've said before, by 2018, after 2 or 3 very serious red lines that I had believed impossible for the GOP to swallow were not only passed but BLOWN THREW WITHOUT SO MUCH A GLANCE y supposedly serious people like @marcorubio- at that point I began to adjust my thinking.
7. ESP when comes to Atty. Gen Barr, who, if predisposed to ladies & gentlemen, holds immense power in our system. The only checks on his are the senate and the president. Starting to see the problem, are you? We have an atty gen who is not just an extremist- he is radical. He
8. is outspoken about his radicalism, like JKustice Thomas he makes no bones about the "Brave New World" he envisions. Now both men find themselves positioned (working together and separately) to bring their theoretics to fruition. They probably never really though they'd be
9. afforded this opportunity- so you can be damn sure they're not likely to let it pass them by with an "awww shucks, darn, that woulda been nice!" In Trump they have the ultimate useful idiot. And both Thomas & Barr are well positioned to fill Trump's empty head to their own
10. benefits. If it requires a temporary suspension of democracy to allow them to hold onto power? People in positions like this are quite adept at finding psychological tricks that justify their actions- hence the effort to convince 70 million people that when they illegally
11. refuse to certify Biden's victory what they are actually doing is SAVING democracy, just like they've convinced these same people that the most corrupt president in the history of the Republic (and we've had some corrupt ones, trust me!) is there to Drain The Swamp! It can be
12. done. It WILL be done unless the not-MAGA segment of the country is equally aggressive at pushing out the truth about those ballots. That they are ALL legal. This will take coordinated marketing effort and media to do things it is not comfortable doing- such as not playing
13. a normal game of "norm of objectivity." Instead, the media will need to start to cover the story of Trump's campaign effort to steal the election by falsely convincing Republican voters that there are "illegal" ballots when there are not. This actually should be easy to do.
14. It should be easy to focus on the Trump campaign's months-long effort to set this up because, well, it is a months-long conspiracy that involves Barr, the RNC, FOX News & other conservative media personalities, the GOP state parties, these law firms filing the lawsuits,
15. and many GOP state-level elected. There are MANY threads that someone like @maggieNYT or @brianstelter could be pulling- threads that just might save democracy if they get pulled now, while there's still time. But the GOP literally built inaction & non-responsiveness of Biden
16. and the non-MAGA media into their plan. They understand exactly how regular media functions & thus, built their own plan around the media response. So far, everything is going exactly as they anticipated. Which means, of course, that they are right on track. Again, Trump is
17. a stupid man surrounded by shred actors with much to gain by keeping him in office & potential criminal charges if he's removed. That's one hell of an incentive for the Hail Mary Pass if you ask me.

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More from @RachelBitecofer

12 Nov
1. Rem when @TheDemocrats took my advice, nationalized their strategy for their statehouse elections and rode neg partisanship referendum waves flipping control of lower chambers in NC, IA, MI, TX,& AZ to join with VA & end the GOP's 2009 Operation Red Meat maps?

Oh yeah...
2. That's right,. they totally flopped that by forcing everyone to run on healthcare and treating the whole of the Republican Party as if it's just another Sunday in the park when even at the state level, its clear the system is straining (as state leg Reps have spoken openly
3.about their intentions to violate the will of the voters, or fight for them. The point I'm trying to make, and I am truly grateful that now @mccaffreyr3 is speaking out to help me make it, is that the system is going to be tested and will strain here and that we will be tested.
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
1. I think school closures also dragged Ds down in congressional races. To be clear, they wouldn't in a functional democracy not following a herd immunity strategy & normalizing the indifference genocide of up to a half million of its citizens. That "conditional" is a necessary
2. component of the "pandemic backlash effect that we have in the U.S. other countries don't have sizable anti-mask movements, ones so large it impedes states like North Dakota who governor @DougForDakota has "led" them to a point where every single county in his large;y rural Image
3. state has been governed to "high" infection rates. He must feel so successful that liberty & freedom is so abundantly clear all around him! So yes, in a country that has normalized murdering via indifference its old, medical compromised & in the case of grandforksherald.com/newsmd/coronav…
Read 16 tweets
11 Nov
1. The diff @kasie between El Paso & NYC though is that as @BetoORourke will tell you, the people of El Paso are being murdered by the extremism (and even worse, indiff) of the GOP in TX. Which, if TX Ds had made clear in the election instead of focusing on healthcare as directed
2. national Ds, by the D orgs, AND by the state party's consultants (whereas the advice I gave to nationalize the race, tie in Trump, & make it a referendum on the pandemic was ignored. Honestly, I thought my phone would ring. Even after being warned that @texasdemocrats were
3. heavily reliant on heavy @TheDemocrats strategy which is itself reliant on a dialed-in, consultant class heavy "strategy" that is out-dated, frankly. The candidates that enjoy the most success are those w the financial flexibility to go rouge & build their own turnout machines
Read 10 tweets
9 Nov
1. The 2022 cycle is likely to produce a "reversion to the mean" in terms of voter behavior, with Indies pulling back their turnout surge and w/o the strategic modernization I am BEGGING for, Dem coalition voters rolling back too.

This will produce party splits in districts like
2. VA's 7, which BTW my research & theory was able to identify as DEF flipping in 2018 blind to the candidate based purely on the above surge reality from demo change, realignment, generational change, & growth (this was posted
washingtonpost.com/blogs/all-opin…
3. five months before Election Day & when other raters had this district Lean R! That was the recipe for winning under the Trump surge election, and frankly, Ds could be sloppy on strategy and still win. There was virtually no price for it in 2018 & even though there was a price
Read 7 tweets
9 Nov
1. It's come to my att. that some people blame individual candidates for the Ds underperformance in the congressional map. Just like it's not the fault of progressives, BLM, OR moderate issues, it's not the fault of candidates or individual campaigns, folks.

These campaigns are
2. run under basic strategic maps brought to them by the DCCC/DSCCC/DLCC & imposed on the campaigns. If the campaigns want the help, they must accept these imposed "rules" from their on, messaging, ads, direct mailers- its ll set by the party's strategists. That's why MY ire is
3. directed, bc the strategic approach being crafted from the "C-suite" (executive office/corporate offices) in the partry's orgs, despite being research-based, is producing subpar outcomes electorally & needs to be overhauled. The frustration is that this need has been clear
Read 7 tweets
8 Nov
1. No sooner than will Biden be sworn in than the VA 2021 cycle, w an open gubernatorial race commences. The cycle will be highly contentious bc both parties will face open primaries & bc the GOP overperformed down-ballot, I expect GOP candidates will compete for than nomination
2. BUT the competition on the DEM side is going to be ridiculous. Seriously, we might get to 2020 Dem primary proportions. This is bc the Dem nominee will be highly favored to win. And despite VA's long reputation of breaking for the oppo party of the prez elected the year before
3. the dealignment of college-educated whites makes the continuation of this trend unlikely this cycle. In this cycle, 2020, with virtually no spending (though Biden did run some TV ads) Biden won 54.1% of the vote, and turnout is at 71%. This is bc VBA is the 5th most educated
Read 31 tweets

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