(1) Did you know?

On Nov. 8-9, 1923, Hitler & the Nazi Party led a coalition in an attempt to overthrow the German government. This failed coup d'état came to be known as the Beer Hall Putsch.

Later, the Nazi party redefined the putsch as a heroic effort to save the nation. Image
(2) In 2020, a propaganda machine got 70M Americans to vote for an autocratic demagogue.

That demagogue wants to convince its followers that the election was a heroic effort against left wing corruption. If that coalition grows to 80M, it may usurp the US government. Image
(3) More information about the "Beer Hall Putsch":
encyclopedia.ushmm.org/content/en/art…
(4) Food for thought: Image
(5) The 1930 election in Deutschland is documented in the PBS series, "The Rise of the Nazis". The election came 7y after a failed Nazi coup attempt.

The post WW I, politically splintered liberal democracy of Deutschland fell victim. Will the USA?

pbs.org/show/rise-nazi…
(6) The election of Adolph Hitler as Chancellor in 1932 marked the turning point in the rise of the Nazis. From that point on, the Nazis started eliminating their opposition.

histoire.museeholocauste.ca/en/timeline/na… ImageImageImageImage
(7) Allowing deceptive mass media propaganda to flourish in the United States has led to a massive, angry class of Trump supporters who strongly believe alternative histories spun by right wing propagandists. ImageImageImageImage

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More from @39Magilla

23 Oct
(1) Cold, dry air irritates your nasal lining, and as a result, your nasal glands produce excess mucus to keep the lining moist. A runny nose and post nasal drip can occur.

Can this increase the risk of COVID-19 infection?
(2) According to a 2008 NIH research project, the answer could lie with the improved stability of phospholipids that encapsulate virus capsids in the winter.

nature.com/articles/nchem…
(3) From Guinea Pigs with influenza, to a soup v. gel consistency of mucus and sputum, the NIH research points to a change in the physical properties of aerosols and fomites.

sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/… Image
Read 11 tweets
16 Oct
(1) Understanding the importance of changes in "Confirmed #COVID19 Cases per Infection":

Not all Infections are discovered, so Confirmed Cases underestimates actual Infections.

Early in the pandemic a very small percentage of Infections were Confirmed (Level 1). Image
(2) Because testing was primarily limited to patients at emergency departments at hospitals, only patients with moderate to severe or even critical symptoms were tested. Image
(3) For instance, we know from the New York seroprevalence study that there were more than 9-12 times as many Infections as Confirmed Cases during the New York outbreak. Image
Read 11 tweets
5 Oct
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (1) Quick & Dirty Peru SITREP:

The test positivity data for Peru shows an extremely low Tests-to-Cases ratio of only about 4-to-1, where targets are 30-to-1 or higher to achieve significant benefits of testing and isolation. Most of the community spread is not being detected. Image
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (2) For recent data in Florida, the current Infections-per-Case ratio is estimated at 4.5X to 5.5X, and the fatality rate for people over 70 plateaus at about 10%.

In Peru, they are seeing 25-40% fatalities, suggesting I-to-C ratios of 12:1 to 20:1. ImageImage
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (3) While Peru does seem to be conforming to mask mandates in Lima, there may be other transmission vectors in play. Peru is notorious for discharging untreated wastewater, including human fecal waste, directly in the ocean. This may be a rare vector impacting their spread. Image
Read 10 tweets
4 Oct
(1) A wide distribution of sputum aerosol droplets containing coronavirus leave the nose and mouth of the infected person, but they all shrink as they evaporate, concentrating the virus and making filter masks less effective against them.
(2) The infected person's filter mask catches a larger percentage of the initial particles and also limits their outward velocities.

The combined effect is estimated to be a 95% reduction in viral transmission.
(3) If the infected person doesn't wear a mask, the aerosol particles are projected further and they arrive with concentrated virus bound to much smaller aerosol droplets, making a susceptible person's mask less effective.
Read 8 tweets
3 Oct
(1) US Excess Deaths for Adults aged 25-44 now exceeds 21,000:

Over 10,000 Women, aged 25 to 44, have died:
- Young adults
- Young partners
- Moms

For comparison: 149 women (who now make up 15% of US Armed Forces) have died in the "War on Terror".

cmrlink.org/sitrep/full/gr… Image
(2) Evidence References for US Excess Deaths for Adults aged 25-44.

CDC Source URL:
cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…

US Military Women Killed in War URL:
cmrlink.org/sitrep/full/gr… ImageImageImageImage
(3) Basis Discussion, Part 1:

1. Lower est. based on Maximum value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years (1.01810822 X).

2. 50-50 est. based on Average value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years. Image
Read 7 tweets
18 Sep
(1) How people build their own bubbles on Facebook and Twitter:

When you first join either RB or Tw, you have no following list. As a result, you have nothing in your feed.

Twitter offers you some vanilla ideas, and then you tend to follow some of your friends. ImageImageImage
(2) As you add friends or your favorite celebrities and news personalities, you will start receiving tweets and retweets.

This will immediately bias your feed to the tastes of your most active friends and celebrities.

When you read a retweet, you can follow its author. Image
(3) Pretty soon, you're encased in a bubble that is designed to be aligned with your biases.

As you follow, unfollow, mute and block accounts, you shape the bubble to your liking, but it is difficult to communicate between bubbles. Image
Read 17 tweets

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