1/ Other Coronaviruses (non-COVID19) vs. #COVID19 in Canada

Comparing %pos by week for past cold seasons vs. the 2019/2020 Novel Coronavirus season.

Three provinces: ONT, QUE, BC

I honestly don’t know how to interpret what I’m seeing but it’s eye popping to say the least...
2/ BC…

Appears to have had a normal cold season (other coronaviruses) in 2019/2020 (yellow line) compared to the prior three seasons.

#COVID19 arrives (dark black line, surges weeks 11-14), and declines (seasonally, it would appear).
3/ but Ontario and Quebec are way different…
4/ Ontario…

Where are the Other Coronaviruses in the ‘19/’20 season? (yellow line)

% pos does not rise as normally expected, and goes nowhere near the prior three seasons !

Material #COVID19 positives arrive again in week 11, and surge before declining (again, seasonally?).
5/ What about Quebec ?

Well, there is some surge in Other Coronavirus % positivity in late 2019, then it plateaus, and it never comes close to prior year peaks.

#COVID19 again arrives in ~ week 11, surges before declining (again, seasonally?).
6/ This is just the data. Other Coronavirus testing levels were not materially different through the 2019/2020 season.

I have no idea how the above should be interpreted, but the obv Q: why is Other Coronavirus % pos in Ont/Que so low prior to the “official” arrival of #COVID19?
7/ A brief data note: in week 30 (July 25th, 2020), the other coronavirus chart (published weekly) for Ontario appeared to be updated so as to “catch up” previous unreported positives (??). But *no changes* were made to the official data table. And no changes to the Quebec chart.
8/ Sources. All data from:
canada.ca/en/public-heal…
9/ Fascinating data. End Thread.

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More from @rubiconcapital_

20 Oct
1/ #COVID19 is having a significant impact on prevalence of other common respiratory pathogens, like influenza.

Globally, since COVID began, influenza cases are down * 98% * (see tweet-link below).

The Canadian data and implications are explored here🧵

2/ Guess what

Here in Canada, flu cases also *collapsed* when #COVID19 arrived

Since mid-April to today, lab-confirmed flu cases in Canada are: 154

Average of same the time-period in previous flu seasons?

*3,836*

(…despite increased flu testing)
3/ Here is an interesting visual

The 19/20 flu season (interrupted by #COVID19) vs. avg of ’16-‘19 flu seasons. # of cases and positivity % by week.

In 19/20, flu cases/positivity dive to near ZERO, whilst previous years the decline is (i) gradual, and (ii) never reaches zero.
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1/ Spent the evening slicing and dicing the @ONThealth COVID19 case-by-case database. Found here: data.ontario.ca/en/dataset/con…
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