1/ It's indescribable seeing results from NYC EMS ambulance runs showing how cardiac arrests skyrocketed during COVID
(I started a program to monitor these symptoms in real time--among the very first application of syndromic surveillance in public health, 2 decades ago)
2/ Every day, crews from @FDNY are called to 20 to 30 patients who have collapsed, and attempt resuscitation. Can you imagine?
It's never like the movies. Most patients die, ribs cracked. 75% of the time you never get a heart rate back.
On April 6, there were 305.
305.
3/ In the dry language of medical research the researchers describe the horrible statistics.
During the peak, most patients had nonshockable presenting rhythms of asystole and pulseless electrical activity. 92.2% of the time they called off the resuscitation without a pulse.
4/ The patients were those who you would expect to suffer complications from COVID.
Older patients (mean age 72)
High blood pressure and diabetes are common
But only 23% had a history of heart disease
And controlling for all that, twice as likely to be black or hispanic
5/ This is from COVID.
The authors discuss whether it could be from people delaying medical care, but that is an epidemic curve.
You might expect delayed care to have continued to take a toll after the outbreak peak at the end of March, but it fell just as rapidly as COVID did
6/ These deaths are part of why we UNDERcount deaths from COVID, as @WeinbergerDan has shown in his excess mortality analysis
1/ I've been feeling more and more disengaged from COVID work, disillusioned with the growing realization that all the smart research and policy doesn't make a damn bit of difference
Not for the 1st time, I've seen that what I thought was an information problem is something else
2/ I so admire those public health Cassandras who've been unrelenting, continuing to beat the drum of science and policy for the past 9 months
repeating over and over again what must be done, as the cases and deaths mount, with no strategy in sight
tweets, interviews, articles
3/ It's perhaps no accident that they (and I) are "formers"
People who ran the agencies, who know the pain of the experts and scientists working inside, and are free to speak
2/ To test hypothesis that health systems provide better care to patients w high needs, diff in quality b/w system‐affiliated & nonaffiliated physicians
ED visits were significantly *different* in system‐affiliated (117.5 per 100) & nonaffiliated POs (106.8 per 100, P < .0001).
3/ I love how delicately the RAND researchers approach this in their conclusion: “Health systems may not confer hypothesized quality advantages to patients with high needs.”
2/ When CMS first released their public use files, I ran some analyses looking for aberrations-
One thing that jumped right out was...Repetitive non-emergency ambulance runs- often for the same person going back and forth to dialysis 3 times a week.
"Medicare and law enforcement officials will need to create new processes for dealing with a potential flood of outlier reports from amateur sleuths like me."
2/ @AledadeACO is proud to be the largest, most successful nationwide enabler of physician-led ACOs, delivering better care at lower cost for >340,000 Medicare beneficiaries, saving Medicare and American taxpayers nearly $180 million in unnecessary health care spending last year!
3/ Here's the list of the physician-led ACOs we are supporting, and our performance data.
* It doesn't matter if you're urban, rural, suburban, or in which state
* It gets better. The longer you work, the more the chances of success