Day 265, the Our-SecDef-has-to-quarantine edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

2.146 (🔴16)

🔴Clinic: 1.570 (13)
🔴ICU: 576 (3)

Newly hospitalized:
294 (🔴92)

Clinic: 256 (83)
ICU: 38 (9)

#corona #stayhome
New reported cases:

+4.320 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 547 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🟢 that is 347 less ⬇ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -13% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 33.6 days.
New reported deaths:

+88 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🔴 that is 43 more ↗ than yesterday.
🟢 that is 8 less ⬇ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -15% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 30.4 days.
Ages and age distribution of the reported cases.
New reported hospitalisations:

+79 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 7 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 4 more ↗ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -4% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 112.7 days.
Verpleeghuizen
Growth Factor week-on-week:

🟢 cases: -13.5 %
🟢 hospitalizations (RIVM): -4.2 %
🟢 deaths: -14.8 %

Growth Factor day-on-day (7-day moving average):
🟢 cases: -0.9 %

Growth Factor day-on-day:
🟢 cases: -11.2 %
Days since:

60 - press conference: 'Bar closes an hour early'

50 - press conference: 'We want R=0,9'

35 - press conference: 'semi-lockdown'

14 - press conference: 'stricter semi-lockdown'
1) Provinces
2) Cases: added today / correctd today.
3) Cases: compared to yesterday | Mondays
For people who want to want to compare the region 'North', with regions 'Middle' and 'South'.
Can we draw any conclusions?

No.

(But it's still fun to watch)
New cases in the 16 big cities
New cases in the provinces

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More from @YorickB

18 Nov
Hoorzitting met Marijn de Bruin (Gedragsunit RIVM)

Gesprek met gedragsdeskundigen over het coronavirus

Presentatie
tweedekamer.nl/debat_en_verga…

mee/terug kijken
debatdirect.tweedekamer.nl/2020-11-18/zor… Image
De Bruin:
"Misschien wel de slide met de meeste afkortingen die ik ooit gemaakt heb" Image
Gedrag verklaard ook waarom het aantal infecties stijgt. Image
Read 31 tweets
18 Nov
Vandaag weer een #coronadebat en een #Technischebriefing.

We kijken we de #briefing! 🤓
En daarna duiken de stukken in! 🧵

Stukken Kamerdebat hier:
tweedekamer.nl/kamerstukken/b…

Technische briefing daar:
tweedekamer.nl/debat_en_verga…

#coronavirus #Coronamaatregelen
Briefing mee kijken of nakijken? -->
debatdirect.tweedekamer.nl/2020-11-18/zor…

We beginnen met Kuipers.
Kliniek: De piek was iets later dan verwacht.
Nu binnen de voorspelde bandbreedte. Image
Read 68 tweets
17 Nov
Het grote RIVM-weekrapport draadje!🎉

Om te beginnen met het BCO:

Veel mensen raken besmet tijdens bezoek aan vrienden en familie. Daarnaast ook op het werk. #blijfthuis

Bij 44% van de gevallen is een setting van besmetting gevonden.
Het aantal testen dat de GGD afneemt is aan het dalen. Maar het percentage positieve testen is ook naar beneden aan het gaan:

Dit gaat alleen minder snel dan in voorgaande weken. Dat is zorgelijk.
In de labs zien we een vergelijkbare trend, alleen zien we daar dat het percentage positief nu echt all-over-the-place is.

Dat is ook opvallend.
Read 8 tweets
16 Nov
Day 264, the falling-numbers-do-sometimes-rise edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(difference with yesterday)

2.130 (🔴36)

🔴Clinic: 1.557 (48)
🟢ICU: 573 (-12)

Newly hospitalized:
202 (🔴30)

Clinic: 173 (23)
ICU: 29 (7)

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+4.873 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 576 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 176 more ↗ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -18% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 23.8 days. ImageImageImageImage
New reported deaths:

+45 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟡 that is 0 more ↔ than yesterday. (same)
🔴 that is 6 more ↗ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -16% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 28.7 days. ImageImageImage
Read 8 tweets
15 Nov
Day 263, the lazy sunday edition

Patients currently in the hospital:
(between brackets: difference with yesterday)

2.094 (🟢-31)

🟢Clinic: 1.509 (-21)
🟢ICU: 585 (-10)

Newly hospitalized:
172 (🟢-23)

Clinic: 150 (-13)
ICU: 22 (-10)

#corona #stayhome ImageImageImage
New reported cases:

+5.457 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 478 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🟢 that is 230 less ⬇ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -25% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 17.2 days. ImageImageImageImage
New reported deaths:

+45 today.

Indicators (exponential) growth / decay:
🟢 that is 41 less ⬇ than yesterday.
🔴 that is 1 more ↗ than a week ago.

🟢 --> growth factor: -15% week on week.
🟢 --> halving: every 30 days. ImageImageImage
Read 12 tweets
9 Nov
We zien een snelle daling in het dagelijkse getal. 🏂
Wat hoe komt dit?

Een mini-draadje over:
- De daling;
- rapportagevertraging;
- GGD'en die goed bezig zijn.

🧵

#coronamaatregelen #coronavirus
Hoewel de piek in het 7-daags gemiddelde, op 31-okt lag (10.008); zien we in de ruwe data, zoals het RIVM ons dat ook geeft, dat de eigenlijke piek op 19-oktober lag.

Dat is 12 dagen eerder!

Dan is natuurlijk de vervolgvraag, waar komt dat verschil vandaan?
Simpel:
Een grote vertraging in rapportage.

Dus in de stappen:
ziek worden --> testen (persoon)
testen --> uitslag (lab)
uitslag --> RIVM (GGD'en/RIVM)

Als we kijken naar de 19de, zien we dat de piek, met nieuwe gemelde gevallen 6 dagen terug lag in de tijd.
Read 7 tweets

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