📝VACCINE MIGHT BE BETTER than natural #COVID19 recovery for immunity. 36 days after 2nd dose of vaccine, titers for binding & neutralization are often substantially better in vaccinated individuals than naturally recovered patients (labeled as "convalescent").
2) The above figure from the original Phase 1 trials of the Moderna vaccine. Hence why you should try to rely on the vaccine instead of natural infection (ie don’t do natural plow thru herd strategy). nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
3) What about the Pfizer / Bio-N-tech vaccine—do we see the same pattern?? YES! Notice how antibody binding and neutralizing titer again higher for the Pfizer vaccine than natural #COVID19 infection recovery (labeled HCS). nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
4) That said, Harvard immunologist Michael Mina is slightly unsure if the initial >90% efficacy of the vaccine will hold forever long term because immunity response is often stronger early on but plasmablasts can wane.
5) Thus, we must be careful not to assume the efficacy is 90% or more — it might persist but it might drop over time. This is why we need to full trials. Let’s be optimistic but fingers crossed 🤞🏼 on 90-95% efficacy holding.
BREAKING—Oxford/Astrazeneca vaccine is 70% effective overall. But one of its dosing regimens of low-then-high yields 90% effectiveness.
Oxford #COVID19 vaccine cheaper than the Pfizer & Moderna vaccines, and does *not* does not require freezing transport. bbc.com/news/health-55…
2) When volunteers were given two "high" doses the protection was 62%, but this rose to 90% when people were given a "low" dose followed by a high one. Not clear why yet.
The 90% effectiveness data was "intriguing" and would mean "we would have a lot more doses to distribute."
3) There were also lower levels of asymptomatic infection in the low followed by high dose group which "means we might be able to halt the virus in its tracks," Prof Pollard said.
In the UK there are 4 million doses ready to go, with another 96 million to be delivered.
CRITICAL—a negative coronavirus test is **NOT** a ticket to freely socialize without precautions—many are dangerously misguided that it is. It does not negate quarantining, masking & distancing. Here is why 🧵. #COVID19news.yahoo.com/no-negative-co…
2) There is a virus buildup time — called incubation time—until one usually shows symptoms & viral load high enough to the reliably detected. Usually incubation is 5-6 days, but can be 1-14 days or longer. But if you test too early before viral load builds up, you’ll test neg.
3) This does not mean testing is bad—if anything we need more frequent testing. But you can test negative 4 days straight and then positive on day 5. That’s what happened to WH staff K-McEnany and S-Miller—4 negatives before 5th positive. Most people don’t have that luxury.
3) Further, noted earlier that the Pfizer & Moderna vaccines both showed better antibody binding & neutralization in vaccinated people in their P1 trials, than convalescent natural infected survivors.
Hence, another reason vaccine better than Scott Atlas’s “herd”. #COVID19
📍Reinfection worry re-emerging—another documented reinfection case - this time of a 21 year old women in South Korea. There are now officially 26 confirmed reinfections and 1 death, and 572 suspected reinfections of #COVID19. Infection is rare but not blue moon rate it seems.
3) notably, it was two different virus strains. “The spike protein D614G substitution that defines the clade “G” emerged in reinfection, while mutations that characterize the clade “V” (ie, nsp6 L37F and ORF3a G251V) were present at initial infection.” academic.oup.com/cid/advance-ar…
BREAKING—FDA has granted emergency use authorization for @Regeneron’s monoclonal antibody cocktail REGEN-COV2 (Casirivimab and imdevimab), the same drug given to Trump when he was infected with #COVID19. Only for mild/moderate cases—not hospitalized. 🧵 fda.gov/news-events/pr…
2) There are a lot of rules and FDA stipulations for REGEN-COV2 cocktail use though— cannot be used if patient on oxygen (Trump was) or hospitalized. Children must be 12 or old and weigh 40 kg or more.
3) And it’s only for those mild/moderate with “high risk of progressing to severe #COVID19”—and thus need to be defined carefully what constitutes high risk of progressing: