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24 Nov, 4 tweets, 3 min read
You can do it, Western countries!

"Whether you think you can or you think you can't... You're right!"

Boss Baby is the perfect inspirational leader for #COVID19


#YouCanBeatIt
"The path to success is not a straight line, but rather a wild ride."

"Aim for failure and you will always succeed."

"Once success is a habit, then it's all downhill!"

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More from @tomaspueyo

Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
22 Nov
Capitalism vs socialism, markets vs gov... Most ppl think 1 is great and the other trash. That’s simplistic.

They’re tools adapted to different situations. We must understand them to know when to use them. Thread.
[1/
Capitalism is great. It uses natural selfishness to push ppl to be as productive as possible, promising them wealth. The + you produce for others, the + you get.

That is achieved by incurring both the cost and benefit of your initiatives.

Here’s the pbm
[2/
It creates a huge incentive to increase your benefits in ways that worsen society.

This happens in many ways. Eg:

1. Information asymmetry
You want cheap & delicious food. But what if it has ingredients that cause cancer? The producer knows it, but doesn’t tell you.
[3/
Read 25 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
18 Nov
Great news this week:
- Pfizer's vaccine 90% effective
- Moderna's vaccine 94.5% effective
- Immunity to #COVID lasts (unless the virus mutates enough, still unknown)

How should this change our decisions in countries like the US? Thread

nytimes.com/2020/11/17/hea…
One of the key arguments of Herd Immunity apologists like @ScottWAtlas or Anders Tegnell is that you can't stop the virus. That means it only stops killing people when 50%-80% of the population has caught it (66% in Manaus).
nature.com/articles/d4158…
If it had taken us 5 years to get a vaccine, it might have made sense: it might be too hard to control the virus this long. But now we can guess that by mid-late 2021, enough ppl might be vaccinated to stop it.
Read 7 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
17 Nov
As a Stanford University alumnus, I am appalled at @ScottWAtlas's defense of herd immunity, and disappointed at @Stanford's response. But the nuances are important to get right. Thread:

[1/
First, @ScottWAtlas. The @washingtonpost reported his herd immunity position. The quick idea: (a) It's impossible to stop the virus, (b) it doesn't kill that many people anyway, (c) Sweden has succeeded letting it run, (d) lockdowns are too expensive
[2/

washingtonpost.com/politics/trump…
(a) It's impossible to stop the virus... except for all the places that have succeeded

[3/
Read 15 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
17 Nov
BREAKING: Sweden limits gatherings to 8 ppl.
thelocal.se/20201116/break…
[1/
This time, it's the law.
[2/4]
I applaud the Swedish government. I think it will help — although I'm not sure it will be enough
[3/4]
Read 4 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
12 Nov
Theory. Let’s call it “Lone Urban Success Paradox” or LUSP:
“Cities with an extremely successful industry are more likely to be politically mismanaged.”

Why?
[1/
1. The best workers in the local workforce will gravitate towards this aspirational industry. Politics are uninteresting in comparison: much less career potential
2. The local government is flush with money by milking the world-class industry. It becomes profligate and wasteful.
Read 8 tweets
Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
9 Nov
Translations have started coming for our last article, The Swiss Cheese Strategy. Today, German, French and Spanish!

German here:
medium.com/contentist-de/…
French here:
smbilodeau.medium.com/coronavirus-la…
Spanish here:
almamera.medium.com/coronavirus-la…
Read 4 tweets

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