Considering the systematic nature of the Syrian regime's policy of forced displacement, there is a gap in the analysis informing international policy-oriented discourse of this systematic effort to affect a permanent demographic shift.
We tried to address it in our briefing.
The policy continues being applied to this date, as documented in the most recent Human Rights Watch @hrw report which details attacks on Idlib, which were part of the policy of forced displacement.
Forced displacement is almost always followed by land and property confiscations and their distribution to loyalists, often members of foreign militias. syacd.org/hama-confiscat…
The regime's policy relies on “buying time” to stabilize and cement the demographic change. This is one of the key reasons for the constant delaying of any meaningful political solution which would envisage the return of refugees and restoring their rights.
Demographic change is difficult to reverse, but its impact can be greatly diminished if independent and efficient mechanisms and institutions are established to oversee and implement organized return of the displaced, under robust international guarantees.
The Syrian regime is investing all its capacity to stop this from happening in a hope of retaining its poisonous dream of “useful Syria”. However, the 13 million displaced Syrians are the only force which will decide upon its fate.
9 million Syrians are ready to return if the right conditions exist. If they persevere in their determination to reclaim their homes and their country, Assad’s attempt to engineer a “useful Syria” through demographic change will remain only that – a criminal, failed attempt.
Different methods of displacement and the trauma that goes with the brutality are usually deployed to make people leave their homes and stay away. 1/ syacd.org/wp-content/upl…
New reality is manufactured through violence and aggressive changes in the sectarian or religious spirit and custom of the communities, where native residents feel as strangers in their own places of birth. 2/
Economic and social pressures exerted on specific groups, while at the same time privileging other groups which are being settled as a replacement demographic; all these factors constitute elements of demographic change that numbers can’t capture. 3/
Since the outbreak of the Syrian conflict, Assad regime engaged in all sorts of oppressive practices against Syrians, including mass arrests, torture, killings, and most importantly, systematic forced displacement, in what we believe has the aim of forced demographic change. 1/
Ten years into the conflict, it is now clear that for the Syrian regime & its Iranian & Russian allies, forced displacement of millions of Syrians since 2011 is not a mere consequence of the conflict, but a systematic policy to achieve strategic goals set out by Assad himself. 2/
The main target of this criminal policy seems to be the majority Sunni Muslims, who made up 74% of pre-war population as they're seen as the main threat to the regime & its existence. Yet the regime also targeted other groups including Christians, Ismailis & other minorities. 3/
For any political solution for #Syria to be sustainable, it must include a robust mechanism to secure the rights and minimum conditions for return expressed by refugees and IDPs, some of which were detailed in our recent "We Are Syria" report. 1/ syacd.org/we-are-syria/
In doing so, the EU and the US need to use their decisive influence to reshape the mission of the Office of the Special Envoy (OSE) and the political process led by it. 2/
The majority of Syria's displaced see a political settlement as a core component of their ability to return home, but two-thirds see their chance to return slipping away as the peace process drags on. 3/
The Yarmouk camp, or as the Palestinians call it the “Capital of the Palestinian Diaspora,” used to house 36% of all Palestinian refugees in Syria. Palestinians considered it a symbol of their hopes for return and attachment to Palestine. [Thread] 1/
It is located seven kilometers south of Damascus, covering an area of about two square kilometres. Formally it comes under the governorate of Damascus, but since the 1960s it had administrative autonomy run by an independent "local committee." 2/
The area was devastated in a brutal siege by the regime forces and incursion by ISIS. And now it is under threat from the regime’s continuing policy of demographic change implemented through laws that strip displaced people of their property. 3/
Deployments of Assad’s forces and Iranian militias continue in Dara'a countryside, especially in the area of Tafas. There are reports of people being expelled from their homes on the outskirts of the city of Dara’a, while the threat of a full-scale assault hangs in the air. 1/
Meanwhile, the people of Tafas and other areas in Dara’a continue to protest against the threat of military action, despite the threats to their security. 2/
The protests come as the elders and notables of Houran region issued a statement warning the Syrian regime over its escalation in violence against civilians in the area. They condemned murders, assassinations, and kidnapping, regardless of the perpetrators… 3/
.@SyriaCivilDef and @SyrianACD: The Syrian regime has launched a political and media campaign calling for the lifting of economic sanctions against it, claiming this is needed to cope with the spread of the #COVID19 virus in its areas of control. 1/
.@SyriaCivilDef#WhiteHelmets and @SyrianACD#SACD are astounded by these demands and allegations, and warn the international community and the key countries of influence against entertaining such demands for the following reasons: 2/