Job postings on @indeed are 11% below last year's trend. Very slight improvement vs week ago (-11.5% vs -11.6%). Gains have slowed, especially relative to summer rebound.

hiringlab.org/2020/12/07/job…

1/
Food prep and childcare job postings have slowed in the past couple of weeks as the virus spreads. But loading & stocking jobs are well above last year's trend.

hiringlab.org/2020/12/07/job…

2/
Job postings are down most in larger, expensive metros where more people can work from home and aren't spending as much at local businesses.

hiringlab.org/2020/12/07/job…

3/
Postings have climbed this autumn at a similar rate in metros where the virus is surging as elsewhere. No slowdown in local postings where cases have risen most.

hiringlab.org/2020/12/07/job…

4/end

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More from @JedKolko

7 Dec
County vote data are nearly all reported. (Finally!)

Here's what happened in the 2020 election.

New from @MonkovicNYT
and me this morning in @UpshotNYT

1/

nytimes.com/2020/12/07/ups…
The 2020 vote was very similar to 2016 -- and slightly LESS polarized.

Correlation of county vote margin between 2016 and 2020 was 0.99 (not a typo). And Trump-voting counties in 2016 swung more to Biden than Clinton-voting counties in 2016 did.

2/

nytimes.com/2020/12/07/ups…
Metros in key battleground states swung several points away from Trump.

nytimes.com/2020/12/07/ups…

3/
Read 7 tweets
11 Nov
The election scrambled some local partisan differences, but the red-blue economic divide hardened.

My latest in @UpshotNYT

nytimes.com/2020/11/11/ups…

1/
Places with brighter future economic prospects swung toward Biden. Higher college attainment, higher median household income, faster projected job growth, and fewer routine jobs were all correlated with a bigger Democratic margin in 2020 than 2016.

nytimes.com/2020/11/11/ups…

2/
Places with better economic outcomes swung toward Biden in 2020. Faster job growth and lower unemployment pre-pandemic -- as well as pandemic-era milder job losses and smaller unemployment increases -- went hand-in-hand with bigger Democratic margins.

nytimes.com/2020/11/11/ups…

3/
Read 12 tweets
10 Nov
US job postings on @indeed now 13% below last year's trend. Improvement continues, though at slower pace than the summer rebound.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/10/job…

1/
Lots of postings for jobs that get things to people. Loading & stocking and driving jobs well above last year's trend.

But arts & entertainment and hospitality & tourism have improved little.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/10/job…

2/
Postings are down most in larger, richer metros where more people can work from home and where some hard-hit sectors are clustered.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/10/job…

3/
Read 4 tweets
6 Nov
Core unemployment remained high in October -- falling just slightly from Sept.

Core unemployment excludes temporary layoffs and remains near its pandemic high.

1/
Although the headline unemployment rate is far down from its peak, core unemployment remains near its pandemic high. Temporary layoffs are fading. Permanent unemployment is not.

2/
The temporary share of unemployment is down to 29% in October, from a high of 78% in April. Normal is in the 10-15% range.

3/
Read 4 tweets
5 Nov
Job postings in the US 14.0% below last year's trend, as of last Friday.

Continued improvement but at much slower rate than in summer.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/05/job…

1/
Moving-stuff-around jobs (loading & stocking, and driving) above last year's level. But arts & entertainment and hospitality & tourism still suffer.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/05/job…

2/
Job postings down most in Honolulu, San Francisco, San Jose, Seattle.

hiringlab.org/2020/11/05/job…

3/
Read 4 tweets
4 Nov
Some preliminary and incomplete thoughts about preliminary and incomplete data.

Let's not over-generalize about Hispanic/Latino vote patterns. Yes, there was a big shift toward Trump between 2016 and 2020 in Miami and the Texas border. But, details ...

1/
In the Texas counties where a majority of the population is of Mexican origin (Census definition), Trump did 6.6 points better in 2020 than in 2016. But outside of Texas, majority-Mexican-origin counties (mostly California) actually swung about half a point away from Trump.

2/
Another way to see this:

county-level correlation between % Hispanic/Latino and swing toward Trump (excl clearly incomplete counties):

0.32 overall
0.16 without Miami-Dade
0.01 without Miami-Dade or Texas

3/
Read 5 tweets

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