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Rich
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8 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Don't believe it. I wish I could tell you to believe it. But I can't, so I won't. Of course, you could listen to the excuses of my competitors, who haven't called an election correctly, EVER, but are desperately looking for something to justify their incompetence.
Tell me... what election has Dave Wasserman @Redistrict called correctly? The guy and is his organization is a total fraud, a bunch of glorified poll readers who aren't objective nor intelligent enough to digest "non-consensus" polling data.

There's no such thing as a consensus.
Look at one of Dave's great claims to fame. Pinellas County. Half a million votes and Trump/Biden are about even. No double-digit swing. Duval? Nope. None of that, either.

The guy is a fraud and so is his fake, fraudulent model I can debunk in about 15 seconds. Get your $ back.
Aside from all that, you'd think Dave & Co., or Fraud LLC., would apologize for slandering people, professional people, because they didn't agree with their fake "consensus".

But they didn't. Because he's a fraud. Like the rest.

These are not statisticians. They're jokes.

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More from @Peoples_Pundit

Rich
29 Nov
Let me tell you a story about what happened to us today.

Today, Laura, I, and our daughter were in @MichaelsStores, and speaking to a woman about holidays & politics.

This crackpot @JoeBiden supporter didn't think she was sufficiently wearing her mask and threw her cart at her.
At first, I thought it was someone she knew. Who would possibly be so ridiculous, right? But no. He must've overheard what she was saying and didn't like it.

Aside from the obvious, which is that you don't complain about masks if you touch someone's personal space...
... the bottom line is that this was of course, crazy. Anyway, he was shouting and demanding she should "stop socializing" and that "wearing a mask is a federal law".

That's of course, total bu!!$#!t. But even if it wasn't, you don't physically attack a woman like that...
Read 7 tweets
Rich
24 Nov
Election "forecasters" will never be accurate until polls are accurate because they don't run models. They're glorified poll-readers.

@TheEconomist is one of the worst faux models. Last 5 Economist/@YouGov Generic Ballots were wrong in result & trend.

D +10
D +10
D +8
D +7
D +6
Speaking of Generic Congressional Ballots...

Final @CNN Poll — 886 LVs from 10/23-26 — Democrats +12 (54/42).

Planet Earth: Democrats +2.3 (current).

First, CNN, your pollster sucks.

Second, remember the smears against @Rasmussen_Poll after 2018, from CNN people no less?
In 2018, @Rasmussen_Poll GB didn't specifically reference the House. Actual pollsters know how wording can impact results.

No such excuse for @CNN.

"If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your
Congressional district?"
Read 5 tweets
Rich
17 Nov
Newsflash: @JoeBiden NEVER led @realDonaldTrump in Ohio, nor other states such as Florida.

Remember @FoxNewsPoll: Biden +3?

Total BS.

Ohio was always Trump +>6.

Recall #InsideTheNumbers when I showed you how badly data must be manipulated to find that.
On that episode of #InsideTheNumbers, we discussed the results of Ohio in the poll we conducted for @EpochTimes and crunched live raw data on air from responses we separately gathered after @FoxNewsPoll Biden +3.

It was incompetence. A lie. Or both.

Watch it. 👆. You'll see
Worth noting, after the @FoxNewsPoll showing Biden +3 in Ohio, the Tiny Crystal Balls moved Ohio to "Toss Up".

Why? Because demographics and other predictive indicators suggested it was one?

No, folks.

Because they have tiny crystal balls and poll-readers. Bad ones at that.
Read 4 tweets
Rich
3 Nov
Thread on Exit Polls and Voter Analysis: Neither the right or the left should put much, if any stock, in either.

Over the years, after witnessing one horrible blunder after another and the damage they leave in their wake, I truly believe media should abstain from using them.
We often ignore the years when exit polls correctly called the winner, though were still showing serious issues due to at least non-response bias.

Veteran exit pollster Murray Edelman has spoken a lot about this.

Here are some notable, egregious misses.
In 2004, the Kerry Campaign was elated. The Bush Campaign was in shock re Florida. The latter was confident they over-performed exit polls. By night's end, a Kerry exit poll win turned into a historically comfortable Bush win in a razor thin state he barely won 4 years before.
Read 13 tweets
Rich
1 Nov
Another tidbit from #Wisconsin: Overall, 68.9% of voters "believe there is a significant number of 'shy' voters who do not want to share that they are voting for @realDonaldTrump," the second highest state yet.

Suburban voters (72.7%) are most likely.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Remember, #Michigan posted the highest percentage of voters (37.6%) who say they are uncomfortable being truthful to pollsters.

Suburban voters (20%) were much more likely than rural and urban voters (14.2% each) to say they are "very" uncomfortable.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Not surprisingly, suburban voters in Michigan were the most likely (70.4%) to "believe there is a significant number of 'shy' voters who do not want to share that they are voting for @realDonaldTrump."

He didn't poll well in the burbs in '16, either.
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Read 4 tweets
Rich
28 Oct
The Bobulinski interview on @TuckerCarlson is proving w/o a doubt @JoeBiden played a direct role in lucrative deals with hostile foreign entities while serving as VP.

He said claims he did not “are a blatant lie. I almost stood up and screamed liar and walked out” of the debate.
“I want to simply this for the American people as much as I can.”

Bobulinksi said the May 13 email details how the Bidens will divvy up the money from the deal and that “the Big Guy” is @JoeBiden, who’s 10% cut was funneled through his brother Jim Biden’s 20% cut.
Bobulinksi: “I remember looking at Jim Biden and saying, ‘How are you guys getting away with this?’” and he “chuckled” and said, “plausible deniability.”

That would explain lambasting those who used his name instead of “the Big Guy” in messages and emails.

Wow. Stunning.
Read 8 tweets

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