Plenty of talk this morning about how UK sovereignty is what is stopping an EU deal, that the EU want to impinge on this.

Sorry, the argument is totally bogus. It is a combination of EU hatred and cakeism dressed up in respectable clothing. 1/ n
How do we define sovereignty in trade deals? Complex question, so let's just look at this government. It believes in trade deals and membership of the WTO. These contain binding rules. Therefore for this government sovereignty and binding rules are compatible. 2/
Therefore sovereignty in terms of trade rules for this government is a relative concept either in content or partner terms. So when they say the EU proposals go too far is that because of what is proposed, or who it is proposed with? 3/
We haven't been told the detail. But with regard to the level playing field it is suggested that no country could sign up to a situation where not following the rules leads to tariffs being imposed. However we agree to this in the WTO and FTAs. So that is untrue. 4/
Fish is a slightly different matter, and it is being said that the EU proposal would deny the UK control of our waters. But definitionally that can't be true. We're showing our control through the discussion. We don't have to do a deal. 5/
And in fact this is true of the trade deal with the EU as a whole. There does not have to be a deal. If there is not, then WTO terms. We have both signed up to these a long time ago. Apparently sanctions under the WTO aren't breaches of sovereignty. 6/
So why do we even want a trade deal with the EU? To avoid tariffs, get more haulage permits, have greater rights to provide services, that sort of thing? This sounds then like a transaction, where we have to choose the price we're prepared to pay. 7/
Neither the EU or UK has to do this deal. It is a choice. So why is this choice a matter of sovereignty? Just say no.

Unless, perhaps, you think you are entitled to a special deal without paying a price? Or that the other side is wrong? 8/
We are back to cake. Back to the belief that the EU 'should' give us a special deal. And anger that they won't. This isn't about sovereignty. It is about a failure to agree commercial terms. It doesn't matter if the EU is right or wrong. It is whether you can do the deal. 9/
And, just perhaps, the idea that the EU is not the body that the UK 'should' be dealing with. That it is illegitimate, not being a country but a bloc. That should be brought down.

Well tough. Countries want trade deals with the EU and hate the experience. Live with it. 10/
So let's not indulge the sovereignty myth with regard to an EU deal. If it isn't sovereignty when it is a deal with Japan it isn't when it is with the EU. This is about the terms of preferential trade. They strike a hard bargain. Crying sovereignty = failure. Do better. 11/ end
PS the classic sovereignty myth. You wonder if the real problem is that they don't see us as 'more' sovereign than their member states. But ultimately, do the deal or don't. Don't whinge about the price.
PPS of course if we see an EU deal as just a case of the price worth paying that does set up an uncomfortable time for government if they got that wrong. Far better for them to convince us economic losses were about sovereignty not a poor decision...

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More from @DavidHenigUK

14 Dec
Going to have to disagree with my learned friend here. If anyone moved on level playing field it was the UK, on the principle of a ratchet, or tariffs for divergence which was still being denied midweek. Changing the way in this might be achieved (many options) is insignificant.
It is the same "I move in principle you move in detail" shift we saw with the Northern Ireland protocol last year, when no PM could accept a border between GB and NI suddenly did, just as recently no PM would accept tariffs for divergence and seems to have done.
So, are we at deal yet? No, and it remains far from certain, but better than the gloom of Saturday. I still think the PM wants his ideal where everyone is happy, still hopes if only he can speak to Macron and Merkel he could get it, still to decide.
Read 17 tweets
13 Dec
The framing of this big issue remaining in UK-EU talks is clearly important. We hear that the EU has dropped dynamic alignment or the ratchet but they were only partially formed devices to enforce the main issue, future proofing fair competition clauses.
If (a big if) the overnight movement was the UK in principle finally accepting fair competition clauses could be future proofed, then the challenge for the EU is proposing a form of words (the EU is demandeur so their job) acceptable to their stakeholders and the UK.
The UK might have accepted the principle of future proofed fair competition but reject, under their own domestic pressure, every potential mechanism. Or the EU might not get Member State or European Parliament support if mechanisms seem insufficiently strong or difficult to use.
Read 6 tweets
13 Dec
"Trade deals are not made to assert independence, they are to manage interdependence" - absolutely true, and actually a better description than the misleading 'free trade agreement'. Someone once suggested 'managed trade agreement' as more accurate.
Not analysing UK government minister statements today as to whether they give room for a deal. There's an obvious deal to be done on level playing field and if the UK side stops being so stubborn / scared of their party it is fine. It looks like we'll choose otherwise, we wait.
Adopt brace positions. Those persistently saying deal or no deal, prepare your victory speeches or concessions of defeat.

Unless they delay again...
Read 15 tweets
12 Dec
The UK is invited to join the queue of countries complaining about unfair EU negotiators.

No Brexit ultras don't tell me I'm a pro-EU shill. This was what Eurosceptics said five years ago. As a reason to leave. They just didn't think it could happen to us. Then it did.
For four and a half years trade experts said that nobody likes negotiating with the EU and we would have a hard time. No we were told, easiest deal ever etc, why aren't you celebrating? Now the same people say it is the EU being particularly nasty. Wrong then, wrong now.
There are plenty of people in the EU who think their negotiating strategy with third countries is harsh. But it isn't changing because we left. It might even get worse. We can whinge. Or dream or rejoining. But realistically all we can do is learn to negotiate the best we can.
Read 4 tweets
11 Dec
As promised, a little story. Of how the EU ask of the UK on the level playing field is indeed new, how that came about, and why we should have been able to deal with this a lot better. And how, indirectly, David Frost is one of the reasons. Beware, contains analysis... 1/
Let us go back 5 years to the height of Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) discussions. As you may recall, by 2015 TTIP was about as popular in the EU as allegedly the EU is these days in the red wall. What, thought the EU and Member States, could be done? 2/
TTIP will be more popular, declared more than one insider, if we show there are tough labour and environment protections against undercutting by the nefarious and probably untrustworthy US. That, optimistically they said, will get NGOs on side. 3/
Read 17 tweets
10 Dec
Not a drill, not a game in which both sides suddenly surprise us, we have seen both sides digging in to their positions. Those in the EU can judge whether that's the right or wrong decision from their point of view, in the UK we should do similar.
In other words, repeated again for the slow, no point in the UK complaining about how awful the EU is. We left. Time to decide whether this awfulness means having nothing to do with them or not. And not blaming those who know about the EU for predicting exactly what has happened.
The absolute classic UK approach to the EU for the last four a half years. Say we don't want to complain. Also, IT'S NOT FAIR!
Read 6 tweets

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