There is no deadly pandemic in Canada. 2020 is shaping up to be an extraordinarily normal year in terms of overall mortality.

#covid19Canada #covid19 #COVID19Ontario #covid19qc #COVID19AB #COVID19BC

Thread:
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past four years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths relative to historical trends.
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%.
So deaths are rising.

Is that due to population growth?

Population aging?

It's a bit of both, but not covid.
Here we have the chart you saw earlier now expressed as a rate per 100,000 people. Generally, a flatter trend in death rates relative to the trend in total deaths would suggest that population may be the key factor.
Across the decade, again we see that when we adjust for population growth, the growth trend is weaker.

Deaths are rising in absolute and relative terms. The aging of the population is likely the primary reason for this trend.

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

10 Dec
Tipping point in York Region?

Not at all.

York is a case study in the unjustified panic fuelled by unscrupulous hospital execs and clickbait-hungry media.

@fordnation @celliottability

Thread:
Here are "cases" (positive PCR test results) and deaths with or from covid-19 in York.

York has reported 326 deaths with/from covid, in a population of over 1.1 MILLION - or 0.03% of the region's population.

69% of deaths over 80 years of age (Cdn avg. for all causes is 51%).
The fraudulent cycle of panic > more testing > more positive results > more panic continues.

York has been on a testing bender for some time, particularly since the end of summer.

covid-19.ontario.ca/data
Read 14 tweets
9 Dec
Some would call you an "anti-vaxxer" for raising these questions, but it's apparently ok if it's a scientist quoted by CTV News saying the exact same thing.

No data suggesting transmission is weakened. Emphasis on symptom reduction.
We'll all be part of a historic mass clinical trial to determine if this vaccine actually works at preventing transmission.

Curiously, timing will align with the natural seasonal recession of covid as we approach the end of the coronavirus and influenza seasons.

Confounders?
Read 4 tweets
5 Dec
Ontario update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario
Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.5% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Read 17 tweets
28 Nov
November 28 novembre

Weekly update for / Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Ontario/Quebec/Canada

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited. / Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Canada #covid19qc #covid19toronto
Read 10 tweets
28 Nov
November 28 – Ontario weekly update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario #COVID19Toronto #COVID19Ottawa
Ontario - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.

(n.b. Based on 2020 YTD data for Covid-19 - figures to be revised.)
Ontario - The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Read 25 tweets
28 Nov
28 novembre – Mise à jour hebdomadaire du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc
Québec (population: 8,552,362):

Nombre total de décès liés à Covid-19: 6 984 (817 décès pour chaque million de personnes au Québec ou 0,08%).

22,5% de la population canadienne, mais 58,7% des décès liés à la covid-19 au Canada.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.

90 hospitalisations aux soins intensifs en cours au Québec.
Read 8 tweets

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