We need to recognize how remarkable this is.

/1

nytimes.com/2020/12/11/us/…
Part of me, of course, wants to see this as mundane -- as the Supreme Court doing exactly what it _should_ have done, exactly what every non-quack legal expert said it would do. But it would be wrong to dismiss the fears of those who worried it would do the opposite.

/2
As someone who studies authoritarian politics for a living, I would encourage all of us who have the privilege of living in democracies to retain a healthy appreciation of institutions working the way they _should_.

/3
The argument that SCOTUS _would_ rule this way because it _should_ rule this way was always specious, in my view. Of course it should. But 106 GOP congressmen and 17 state attorneys general _should_ also have refrained from filing amicus briefs.

/4
The GOP and Trump _should_ have recognized defeat, even if they don't like it. Fox News _should_ not be giving a platform to lies about 'illegal' ballots. Shall I continue?

/5
Ok, I will: the US Gov't _should_ not be a feeding trough for the president's children. The Senate _should_ have waited before filling RBG's seat. Congress and the Administration _should_ protect whistleblowers, not persecute them.

/6
In short, the list of impeachable offenses -- by this president and by his allies on Capitol Hill and in state capitals -- is so long that all of them _should_ have been drummed out of office a long time ago. And yet they were not.

/7
This gap between _should_ and _would_ has yawned because institutions do not act in their own right. Institutions have power because they shape the behaviors of the people in them, and they shape those behaviors by shaping expectations.

/8
In other words, institutions allow us to predict outcomes by telling us how people are likely to behave. And we have learned over the last four years to expect people to behave badly.

/9
If 106 Republican Congressmen could sign on to Texas's laughable lawsuit, was it really unreasonable to think that 6 SCOTUS Justices could do the same? That they could act out of self-interest or a warped, Foxed-up interpretation of reality?

Of course it was reasonable.

/10
The fact that SCOTUS in this instance closed the gap between _should_ and _would_ is important and should be neither overstated nor understated. They have not single-handedly saved American democracy. We have a lot of work to do to close the should/would gap elsewhere.

/11
But to take this case -- and even worse, to rule in Texas's favor -- would have closed the should/would gap in the other direction. It would have removed the last of the 'old' expectations and given people a new one: an expectation that the Constitution has no force.

/12
It is remarkable that the six Republicans most able to inoculate themselves against whatever has infected the rest of the party were those occupying precisely the office designed by the framers of the Constitution to be most resistant to the animal spirits of politics.

/13
But it wasn't a 232-year-old piece of paper that made SCOTUS rule that way. It wasn't the building or the air inside. It wasn't even the books and the robes. It was the people. It was _their_ expectation that this was what they _should_ do.

/14
Future historical sociologists will delve into diaries and notes of those Justices and tell us how those expectations were formed, and why they withstood what others cannot. I do not pretend to know. But perhaps we should not wait that long to find out.

/15
Perhaps we should study the thoughts and ideas of those people -- and particularly those 6 Republicans, with whom I agree on practically nothing else -- to map the genesis of their political T-cells. Perhaps we should learn to spread that immunity to the rest of the herd.

/16
I don't want to predict the future. But I do want us to take a look at this moment, if only for a moment, and understand what it means.

/END

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More from @samagreene

11 Dec
What an exhausting semester this has been.

It's not the technology that doesn't work. It's not the endless meetings to plan for eventualities that will never happen. It's not the daily contingencies and disruptions. Though there is all of that and more.

/1
It's learning anew to find the flickers of recognition that mean progress in half-masked faces. Or else it's the despair of teaching to a screens, to turned-off webcams and muted mics, and of not knowing whether anyone's even there.

/2
It's watching students for fleeting seconds and minutes and hours as they struggle to connect with the material, with the university, with one another, and with themselves. It's knowing that no outstretched hand will touch them where they are.

/3
Read 8 tweets
14 Jun
As #Putin launched the public campaign for his constitutional reform, he took the opportunity to tell #Russia a bit about the United States, and about democracy in general.

"What is democracy?" Putin asked. "It's the power of the people, that's right."

/1
"But if the people elect their higher authorities, then those higher authorities have the right to organize the work of the organs of executive power in such a way as to guarantee the interests of the overwhelming majority of the population of the country," Putin continued.

/2
"And what's happening there [in America]?" Putin went on. "The president says, 'We need to do X', and the governors say 'Go to hell.'"

ria.ru/20200614/15729…

/3
Read 25 tweets
7 Jun
Is this a turning point?

Will what we are seeing on the streets over these past days and weeks turn into something bigger?

Is change possible?

Frankly, these are the wrong questions.

/1
I make no claim to be a world-leading expert. I am not a famous theorist, and my books don’t top the best-seller lists. But protest and mobilization are my thing: they’re what I research, what I teach, and mostly what I read and write about. And sometimes participate in.

/2
When people see a movement kick off - when the streets are suddenly roiling, when people are angry and taking risks and posing challenges - people naturally want to know where it’s headed. Whether it’s likely to create real change. Whether it might be revolutionary.

/3
Read 10 tweets
2 Apr
Take a look at this map, because it doesn't show you what you think it shows you: nytimes.com/interactive/20…

(A thread)

/1
The geographical dispersion of whether or not people have stayed at home (or closer to home) looks, at first, glance, like a red state-blue state thing. But it's not.

/2
Look closer. For one thing, there is a discrepancy between the red south and the red midwest. Second, there are differences within red states.

/3
Read 9 tweets
10 Mar
I'll say it: I may have been wrong about #Putin.

(An appropriately interminable #PutinForever thread)

/1
In case you've missed it, today's news is that a United Russia Duma Deputy (and first woman in space) proposed 'resetting' Putin's presidential terms, allowing him to run again. The Speaker of the Duma called Putin. Putin said ok. And that was that. meduza.io/en/feature/202…

/2
Within the space of about 20 minutes, one of the key planks of Putin's constitutional reform -- limiting the president to two terms -- evaporated.

/3
Read 35 tweets
5 Feb
I'd like to tell you a story.

In September 2011, when I was living in Moscow, I went to meet a friend and colleague -- a Russian academic at a major Moscow university -- just to catch up, and to talk about some research we might do together.

/1
When I walked into her office, the look on her face was one of despair. Quiet, composed and dignified -- but emotionally and morally eviscerated.

I did not have to ask her why.

/2
The day before we met, something had happened in Moscow that everyone knew was going to happen. In an event choreographed and telegraphed and utterly predictable, Vladimir Putin had announced that -- after four years as prime minister -- he was coming back to the presidency.

/3
Read 17 tweets

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