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Eric Profile picture
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15 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Still waiting on that contact tracing data for KC restaurants and bars. What % of outbreaks can you trace to them? Why haven't you shared this when you have 9 months of data?

A well-documented anecdote (3 infections) does not mean this is happening everywhere all the time.
"Necessary curbs", @QuintonLucasKC says, but provides no specifics, no data for Kansas City to show why this is necessary. These are the actions of someone desperate to look like he's doing something even if it's not empirically driven.
Also, cases are decreasing in KC as they are throughout the rest of the Midwest. @QuintonLucasKC announced his "Safer at Home KC" measures on 11/16. Cases peaked around 11/10. His policies are so effective they work retroactively!
The funny thing is, the other day Lucas was asked how many cases could be traced to bars in Kansas City and his answer was "40% of recent cases in Kansas City are people in their 20s and 30s". That......doesn't answer the question.

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More from @IAmTheActualET

Eric Profile picture
16 Dec
3 weeks removed from when people started gathering for Thanksgiving, let's see how those #COVID19 "surge upon a surge" predictions by Fauci etc panned out for those of us in the Midwest. Colored lines indicate each state's peak. They all occurred within one week of each other. Image
2/ The "surge upon a surge" narrative has no basis in reality. COVID outbreaks are clearly regional, regardless of the restrictions put in place by a particular state. This is perfectly obvious when you break out the regions one at a time vs. nationally.
3/ 4 states with some of the most lax COVID restrictions of this group of 9 have the highest decreases from their peak - ND, IA, SD and NE. Some of these states introduced new restrictions, mandates etc. but none of them align with when they peaked. Many came after. Image
Read 9 tweets
Eric Profile picture
6 Nov
Anatomy of a standard #COVID19 response:
1. Recommend cancellation of elective procedures, causing financial strain on hospitals which in turn results in layoffs
2. Vastly overestimate the efficacy of masks and mask mandates, creating overreliance on unproven prevention methods
3. "Cases" eventually go up anyway (highly contagious+PCR tests), public officials blame the public for not "following the rules" re: masks
4. Layoffs from step 1 result in reduced number of beds that can be staffed when virus inevitably peaks, straining hospital workers
5. Media provide anecdotal horror stories of hospitals filling up but does not accurately reflect the big picture of the number of hospital beds available in an area
6. Virus spread eventually slows, regardless of what NPIs were put in place and at what time
Read 4 tweets
Eric Profile picture
28 Sep
To illustrate why #COVID19 PCR testing is flawed, and why we need transparency on cycles from positive tests, here is a hypothetical: say someone took a $1 bill from me and claimed I was distributing cocaine. Most paper bills have over 0.1 micrograms. academic.oup.com/jat/article/20…
To help determine whether I was in possession of cocaine, my accuser has a machine that can multiply any trace amounts found on a dollar bill by two every cycle it ran. You could set it to any number of cycles - but let's say 40, to match the CDC guideline for #COVID19.
So, multiplying 0.1 micrograms by two 40 times is roughly 110,000 grams, or 110 kilograms, or 242 pounds. So the tiny, trace amounts of cocaine found on my $1 bill is now about the same weight as former NFL linebacker Luke Kuechly. I would be going to jail for a long time.
Read 8 tweets
Eric Profile picture
23 Sep
Thinking about this Star Tribune article from May detailing how there are two ends to a pandemic: a “social” one and “medical” one. They quote some historians who theorize the social end may be before medical, but I think the opposite has actually happened m.startribune.com/pandemic-s-end…
The “social” end is when people just stop worrying about the disease. Clinical definitions may vary - but it’s clear COVID is no longer an enormous burden on our health care system. Hospitalizations are dropping drastically and have been for months at this point.
The renewed focus on “cases” using PCR tests that are far too sensitive and are not useful for diagnostic purposes this late in the game is artificially extending our “social” pandemic, as more useful indicators (hospitalizations and ED visits) continue to drop ImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Eric Profile picture
9 Sep
1/ I'm seeing "heart issues related to #COVID19" making the rounds again on Twitter today - I have to admit, I just saw this study that found 48% of elite high-endurance athletes had myocardial inflammation post-infection. Yikes! (source below)
2/ Wait…what's this? This is from 2009? And it's about…the common cold? Not COVID-19? So strange…why haven't we stopped all sports for this? Surely athletes have been dying from cardiac inflammation since the beginning of time! This cannot stand!
jcmr-online.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
3/ Dropping the facetious façade now…as I (and more importantly, cardiologists) have been saying all along, cardiac inflammation after an infection (particularly a bad one) is nothing new. It is why they say it's important to take it easy while you are sick and for a while after
Read 6 tweets
Eric Profile picture
9 Sep
By instituting insane, unattainable "case per population" goals to get life back to normal you are indirectly incentivizing people who are actually sick to not seek proper care. People being very sick, but not wanting to contribute to everyone's imprisonment if they test COVID+
This isn't just for COVID but for other health problems as well. In Denver they showed while cardiac arrests went up, EMT runs went down. A study showed cancer diagnoses went down 50% in the US. Looking at @EthicalSkeptic's graph here you see cancer deaths are already rising. ImageImage
Hospitalizations are the key metric. If an asymptomatic 20-something tests positive for a PCR test, who cares? Studies show asymptomatic transmission is extremely rare. Not overwhelming the health care system was the goal and we've achieved it. Look at this graph. Image
Read 4 tweets

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