Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.
Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.
More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Ontario (population: 14,745,040):
Total deaths by/with covid-19: 3,992 (271 deaths per every million people in ON or 0.03%)
38.8% of Canadian population but 29.2% of Canada deaths by/with covid-19
However, Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.
There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Ontario total deaths 2020, including Covid-19.
Ontario total deaths 2017-2020, including Covid-19.
Covid-19 has been a crisis in Ontario's long-term care (LTC) system vs. among the general public.
Deaths among long-term care residents (0.5% of the Ontario population) account for 62.4% of all Ontario deaths from/with Covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario has generally not approached levels commonly observed for influenza and pneumonia, with even the April peak being comparable only to the summer lull.
Ontario hospitalizations from or with covid-19.
As data on daily new hospitalizations is not publicly available, this is the average daily net change in hospitalizations (ICU and non-ICU).
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.
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Not to mention the high covid survival rates, particularly among the under-70s. (The true survival rates are even higher because this is only among those listed rightly or wrongly as "cases.")
Or that one's likelihood of dying from covid is comparable to one's likelihood of dying in the next 12 months.
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past four years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths relative to historical trends.
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.