Ontario update

Data is 100% public and official, and fully cited.

#COVID19Canada #COVID19Ontario
Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults.
The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 69.4% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 52.2% of all deaths (all causes) in 2018.

More deaths over 90 than under 80.
Ontario (population: 14,745,040):

Total deaths by/with covid-19: 3,992 (271 deaths per every million people in ON or 0.03%)

38.8% of Canadian population but 29.2% of Canada deaths by/with covid-19
However, Covid-19 is often not a wholly distinct and separate cause of death as there are other medical conditions involved in many cases.

There are also cases in which it is not even a cause of death, but the individual had tested positive sometime prior to their death.
Ontario total deaths 2020, including Covid-19.
Ontario total deaths 2017-2020, including Covid-19.
Covid-19 has been a crisis in Ontario's long-term care (LTC) system vs. among the general public.
Deaths among long-term care residents (0.5% of the Ontario population) account for 62.4% of all Ontario deaths from/with Covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The two most important metrics to watch: deaths and ICU occupancy from or with covid-19.
The number of hospitalizations linked to covid-19 in Ontario has generally not approached levels commonly observed for influenza and pneumonia, with even the April peak being comparable only to the summer lull.
Ontario hospitalizations from or with covid-19.
As data on daily new hospitalizations is not publicly available, this is the average daily net change in hospitalizations (ICU and non-ICU).
A note on hospitalization data: This may include those who have had a positive test result after being hospitalized for a different reason.
Ontario - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line).
Ontario Fall/Winter season: May be able to declare a peak when average week-over-week growth reaches zero.

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More from @Milhouse_Van_Ho

17 Dec
Greater Toronto and Ottawa together account for 50.3% of Ontario’s population but 78.6% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19.

Thread: ImageImageImageImage
Greater Toronto (population: 6,417,516 or 43.5% of Ontario):

Total deaths by/with covid-19: 2,783 (434 deaths per every million people in the region or 0.04%)

69.0% of Ontario deaths by/with covid-19 Image
Greater Toronto - The proportion of cases (positive test results) resulting in death (yellow line). Image
Read 11 tweets
15 Dec
Mise à jour du Québec

Les données sont 100% publiques et officielles.

#COVID19Canada #covid19qc
Québec (population: 8,552,362):

Nombre total de décès liés à Covid-19: 7 553 (881 décès pour chaque million de personnes au Québec ou 0,09%).

22,5% de la population canadienne, mais 55,6% des décès liés à la covid-19 au Canada.
Les deux paramètres les plus importants à surveiller: les décès et hospitalisations aux soins intensifs.
Read 12 tweets
15 Dec
Hey @jerryagar1010, did you know that we have the Nuremberg Code to protect us from the sort of coercion that you are advocating?

And that it was developed in response to the horrific acts of literal Nazis?
Not to mention the high covid survival rates, particularly among the under-70s. (The true survival rates are even higher because this is only among those listed rightly or wrongly as "cases.")
Or that one's likelihood of dying from covid is comparable to one's likelihood of dying in the next 12 months.
Read 6 tweets
14 Dec
Canada - Covid-19 still presents a risk primarily to the elderly, not to children and hardly to working-age adults. Image
Canada - The average age of a death by or with covid-19 is higher than life expectancy.

Deaths among those over 80 account for 70.9% of deaths by/with covid-19, but only 51.1% of all deaths (all causes) in 2019. Image
Canada - Bear in mind that the risk of death will sadly always rise in line with one's advancing age.

In 2019, 8.9% of those in the over-80 age cohort passed away. Image
Read 5 tweets
10 Dec
There is no deadly pandemic in Canada. 2020 is shaping up to be an extraordinarily normal year in terms of overall mortality.

#covid19Canada #covid19 #COVID19Ontario #covid19qc #COVID19AB #COVID19BC

Thread:
Here we have the total number of deaths in Canada over the past four years. The most recent 12 months of data do not suggest a spike in deaths relative to historical trends.
Zooming out nationally over the past decade, we see that it's perfectly natural for deaths in one year to exceed deaths in the previous year.

***This does not necessarily = excess deaths.***

Look how often the blue growth line is above 0%.
Read 6 tweets
10 Dec
Tipping point in York Region?

Not at all.

York is a case study in the unjustified panic fuelled by unscrupulous hospital execs and clickbait-hungry media.

@fordnation @celliottability

Thread:
Here are "cases" (positive PCR test results) and deaths with or from covid-19 in York.

York has reported 326 deaths with/from covid, in a population of over 1.1 MILLION - or 0.03% of the region's population.

69% of deaths over 80 years of age (Cdn avg. for all causes is 51%).
The fraudulent cycle of panic > more testing > more positive results > more panic continues.

York has been on a testing bender for some time, particularly since the end of summer.

covid-19.ontario.ca/data
Read 14 tweets

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