Equity call/put ratio (equity PCR inverted)
vs
$GEX

correlation>54%

both at "maximum optimism" lvl

plus

NYSE short-interest at lowest level in the last 10 years as posted Sun

what could go wrong?🧐

No more shorts to squeeze
all traders are super bullish, all-in, fomo

👇👇
Dec 16th:

from my magic screener:

STFR idea:

two super over-valued stocks

1 ACGL: close 35.40; high valuation & analysts downgrade
2 AAL: close 16.86; super over-valued; poor analyst rating

STFR & lotto tickets. 🧐👌
Dec 16th:

SPX
vs
ISEE All Equity Call/Put ratio (20day-SMA) * 100

Maximum Optimism

all-in calls, euphoria, fomo.

what could go wrong? bullish++ 🔥
Dec 16th:

Watching XLY:WMT pair trading closely

Not yet in the "Greed" zone.

greed zone = -1 sigma
euphoria zone = -2 sigma
The market is super over-valued, time to contemplate STFR some potential "Enron" stocks in coming weeks.

Worst 42 stocks ( >$10) with poor fundamentals & analysts average ratings:

mechanical screener. do you own DD.🧐

if you spot a "good" one to STFR, let us know.

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More from @kerberos007

18 Dec
if our beloved $SPX tanks 20-30% from here, I would post a looooong BTFD list 😉

stay tuned.

it is coming 🤣
$USD up
$VIX up

$USD up
$VIX up
$SPX down

the correlation between $USD and $VIX > 50%,
since March

If USD == up and SPX == up
STFR 👌

if USD ~= 85:
sky is falling 🤣

Plus $JPY correlation, Image
$JPYAUD up
$VIX up

$VIX up
$JPYAUD up
$SPX down

$JPYAUD and $VIX correlation > 60%

$JPY up
$VIX up
$SPX down

super leading indicator.. 👌🧐 Image
Read 5 tweets
22 Oct
monitor below chart closely.

$NQ just re-tested the lower support level

$NQ low = 11,598

they can't allow to plunge below 11,600 level.

otherwise, tomorrow bloodbath.

see below Support & Resistance levels

super accurate😉

stop-run levels on both sides: bulls & bears👇
$NQ support & strong resistance levels

4-hr chart since Aug

$NQ above 11,600 = strong support (late Aug)
once breaking down below 11,600 (in Sep), then
it became strong resistance

then,

once it breaking above 11,600 (in Oct), it became strong support

super accurate TA? 😉 Image
$NDX (not $NQ)

$NQ futures has ON real volume

$NDX is an index; there is no real volume

$NDX volume is approximated by aggregating volumes from individual component stock using weighted avg

not 100% accurate, but close for our purposes.

below: use your imaginations Image
Read 112 tweets
17 Oct
volatility tips: 😉

why "volatility always came in clusters"? people ask

50% fundies & 50% technicals:

1 fundies/shocking-news triggering the first wave spike
2 people not prepared for the shock, scramble to buy protections
3 sell risky assets
4 rotate to safe-havens

#1 of 3
5 trigger dealer & MMs Gamma flip level, exacerbating the VIX spike 2nd wave

6 which in term trigger the over-leveraged weak-hand longs, hitting stop loss levels & margin calls- 3d wave

7 risk-parity funds portf rebalance due to sudden plunge in risky assets. trimming

#2 of 3
8 60+% of commodity/futures leveraged funds, employing momentum/trend based strategies w/ trend detection & stop-loss levels for flipping to short, got flipped, huge force to the dn side: 5th wave

9 massive momentum factor-based passive smart ETFs algo rebalance & risk-off: 6th
Read 6 tweets
8 Oct
Trump sent call buying signal to his paid service subscribers 10 minutes in advance. 🧐

$REGN OTM calls to da Moon tomorrow.

Blatant stock market manipulation "legally"?

where is $SEC ? 🙃
Read above post

Where is SEC?
conspiracy?

Trump is

1 "car" salesman (OTM calls) for stonks
2 insider trading paid service Ponzi sponsor
3 selling insider information for profit
4 blatant stock market manipulation

proof? conspiracy?

$SEC investigate?

call vol & call OI 👇
Options stats as of Oct 7th Close

screen: heavy call volume

Stocks with heavy call volume = > 5x 60-day average.

ratio = today volume / 60-day average volume >= 5

marked pink ==> ranked by highest ratio..
Read 6 tweets
3 Sep
People asking about BTFD indicators:

I have tons of these..

BTFD #1 - Capitulation zone
BTFD indicator #2

Maximum pessimism and Capitulation zone

Read 5 tweets
25 Aug
my favorite strategy

$XLY & $WMT spread z-score

entry
z < -1 std => long 1/3 of total lots
long WMT & short h * XLV

z < -2 std => long 2/3 of total lots

profit
z > 0 std => out 1/3 lots
z > +1 std => out 1/3 lots
z > +2 std trailing 1/3 lots

stop
z < -3 std. out.
XLY-WMT spread vs $VIX

when XLY-WMT z-score < -1 std (greed zone), #VIX spiking secured in 1-2 wks time-frame

should be confirmed by many of my other breadth & Jaws indicators

also huge warning, when VIX crushed, but the spread rising. stealthy sector rotation in Jan 2018
The 4+ year correlation b/w
1 XLY-WMT spread z-score
2 $VIX
3 > 0.7

tradeable corr & z-score

how about I scan tons of other similar growth/value sectors & stocks, charting their spread z-score & corr with VIX & Sector ETF? along with PCR

Hmm greatest breadth indicator ever?🧐
Read 19 tweets

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