Why did UK travel bans go into place so fast?

➡️ Because we have learned our lesson of being slow in the spring.

"Be fast, have no regrets."

Dr Michael J Ryan of WHO says "the greatest error is not to move" and "speed trumps perfection". #COVID19

2) We cannot “play it down” anymore. We cannot ignore the science and do nothing.

My video:
3) Someone you know tried to warn in January... it has haunted me to this day...

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
4) dropping this here...

“In other words, a FD level of alarm, enacted into public-health policy at the right time, could have prevented the entire global pandemic crisis, and kept COVID-19 a regional health story in just one country of the world.”

nymag.com/intelligencer/…

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More from @DrEricDing

23 Dec
BIOLOGICAL SIGNIFICANCE B.1.1.7 🇬🇧 variant #SARSCoV2:

Read these 4 key circled sentences from @CovidGenomicsUK on why the mutations are worrisome.

Experts don’t think it will strongly affect vaccines, but some say maybe slightly.

See 🧵 for details. cogconsortium.uk/wp-content/upl… Image
2) This table also explains how much the variant B.1.1.7 has been seen recently. Notice how much of the total within last 28 days. Image
3) brand new details on the viral load.
Read 4 tweets
23 Dec
💡New—VIRAL LOAD OF UK🇬🇧 b.1.1.7 VARIANT:

➡️New study by @OxfordViromics group indeed finds **higher viral load** for new variant w/ 501 mutation & 69-70 deletion.

📌How much higher? “Inferred viral loads were *3-fold higher* in people w/ new variant”.🧵
coronavirus-fraser-group.org/files/files/up… Image
2) Outside Greater London, the variant has higher viral loads. Within Greater London, the new variant does not have significantly higher viral loads. But this could be due to demographics, such as a faster variant growth rate in particular age-groups. Image
3) So is it higher or not? Or is it some London / non-London effect? ➡️ it’s really higher.

➡️In a multivariable model (adjusting mutually), what won was the B.1.1.7 variant’s 501Y mutation as key—**higher viral load**

❌London/other region interaction effect not significant. Image
Read 4 tweets
23 Dec
📍Huge blow—UK had halted plans to open rapid-turnaround #COVID19 tests across England amid concerns about the accuracy. Huge blow to UK’s £100bn “Operation Moonshot” mass-testing plan, to increase daily tests from 430k to 10mil. Poor 🇬🇧 case surging too.
theguardian.com/world/2020/dec… Image
2) Experts in testing and understand immunology like @michaelmina_lab think the test is good in capturing **INFECTIOUS** virus, which is key.
3) it indeed caught the critical high viral cases
Read 10 tweets
23 Dec
Welp—Pastor who told parishioners not to fear pandemic—parents then die of COVID after Thanksgiving.

🔥“I’m not wearing a mask—There will be no social distancing CDC. Faith over fear!”

➡️A few weeks later, both parents died of #COVID19 in Fort Worth 🏥.
dallasnews.com/news/public-he… Image
2) Pastor Todd Dunn had been preaching “Faith over fear!” since the COVID-19 pandemic started. Before Thanksgiving, he posted a message on Facebook dismissing precautionary measures by CDC to keep wearing masks and avoid gatherings w/ family members who don’t live in same house. Image
2) “Dunn, who is the pastor of 2nd Mile Church in north Fort Worth where his parents were members, admitted that he was surprised by the sudden surge in COVID cases in recent weeks in Tarrant County.”

.. SURPRISED THAT EPIDEMIOLOGISTS ARE RIGHT??? 🤦🏻‍♂️
Read 6 tweets
23 Dec
NOT EVEN REMOTELY TRUE:

Donald Trump Jr. claims “red states” had fewer #COVID19 transmissions than “blue states” due to “common sense.”

2) Which of these are red states and blue states again @DonaldJTrumpJr? Are my eyes kinda bloodshot or is it the figure just red? Image
3) I swear my eyes must be bleeding red or some reason @DonaldJTrumpJr. Image
Read 5 tweets
23 Dec
New York is vigorously trying to find the UK 🇬🇧 mutated variant in its samples. None found so far among 3700 virus samples sequenced for its genome. Good start. But lots to go. #COVID19 Image
2) Early data hints the new mutation affects kids more.
2) The data on mutation is worrisome.
Read 4 tweets

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