2) Outside Greater London, the variant has higher viral loads. Within Greater London, the new variant does not have significantly higher viral loads. But this could be due to demographics, such as a faster variant growth rate in particular age-groups.
3) So is it higher or not? Or is it some London / non-London effect? ➡️ it’s really higher.
➡️In a multivariable model (adjusting mutually), what won was the B.1.1.7 variant’s 501Y mutation as key—**higher viral load**
❌London/other region interaction effect not significant.
4) More details on these mutations. I wrote a master explainer thread 🧵 with branching 🧵 to South Africa 🇿🇦 strain too.
2) Potential scenario is infection through drainage system. U-traps typically act as water seals in each bathroom. But they can dry out if unused allowing aerosols from one unit to travel to another.
3) Thus is an amazingly detailed epidemiological study. They ruled out all other forms of transmission because the infected families had no other contact in their high rise. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/P…
USA 🇺🇸 ranks—#43 in % 🧬 sequenced. So #winning, not.🧵
2) “Given the small fraction of U.S. infections that have been sequenced, the variant could already be in the United States without having been detected,” the CDC wrote on its website.
3) Remember the old saying, “No testing, no pandemic”?
📌Same goes for virus mutations. “No sequencing, no new mutated variants”
➡️We can’t be ostrich in the sand about this. To stop pandemic, we have to stay ahead of it—know when it’s changing or becoming more contagious.
2) “When patients get really sick with Covid, they’re in the hospital for weeks,” said Dr. Arghavan Salles, a physician who has worked in I.C.U.s in New York and Arizona over the course of the pandemic.
3) “When patients get really sick with Covid, they’re in the hospital for weeks,” said Dr. @arghavan_salles, a physician who has worked in I.C.U.s in New York and Arizona over the course of the pandemic.
📍Huge blow—UK had halted plans to open rapid-turnaround #COVID19 tests across England amid concerns about the accuracy. Huge blow to UK’s £100bn “Operation Moonshot” mass-testing plan, to increase daily tests from 430k to 10mil. Poor 🇬🇧 case surging too. theguardian.com/world/2020/dec…
2) Experts in testing and understand immunology like @michaelmina_lab think the test is good in capturing **INFECTIOUS** virus, which is key.