1,678,624 people have voted in the Senate runoff elections in Georgia. 621,098 by mail and just over 1 million in-person.

Overall, vote totals are within 7% of this point in the general election.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
In-person voting was 154,628 yesterday, marking the 5th straight day of in-person voting lower than during the general. Given that we'll have effectively 0 votes from Thursday-Sunday this week it'll be telling to see where today and tomorrow end up.
While a lot of numbers are slightly down, the percentage of voters who did not vote in the general election is actually climbing. It's up to 2.9% now, representing 49,118 total voters.
County level comparisons to early voting in the general (sorted by # of RVs)

45.6% - Fulton
41.2% - Gwinnett
46.2% - Dekalb
38.7% - Cobb
36.2% - Chatham
46.5% - Clayton
37.6% - Cherokee
41.9% - Henry
37.8% - Forsyth
38.4% - Richmond
37.7% - Muscogee
36.7% - Hall
36.2% - Paulding

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More from @gtryan

23 Dec
We're up to 1,884,692 votes cast in the Georgia runoffs. After tonight's update we'll probably hit 50% of the early vote turnout for the 2020 general, and then it's the holidays and numbers will slow significantly.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Mail votes increased by 58,111 since yesterday, bringing the total mail vote within 19% of the general's at this point.

In-person votes grew up 147,957 and remain about 3% ahead of pace. Days are coming in below 2020 general pace regularly basis now, so expect this to drop.
GA-07 has jumped ahead of GA-09 now in "early turnout compared to early turnout for the general"

In fact, the bottom 4 congressional districts for turnout so far are all folks who signed on to the Texas brief, and MTG.

georgiavotes.com/ushouse.php
Read 5 tweets
19 Dec
Ok, as promised I dug into the numbers a little more. Particularly around how people voted in the 2020 primary. There are better ways to estimate overall partisanship, but I've stuck with this for now.
First, I want to let folks revisit the breakdown of D and R primary voters who have voted so far, vs the breakdown through the first week of early voting in the general.

Dem "lead" is 154k vs 181k in the general on lower overall turnout. That's about D +16% vs D +17.4%.
This also lines up with what Nate Cohn has been posting about, which looks at this a lot more thoroughly than I think I am. Dems are doing well, but not necessarily as well as they were at this point in the general.

Read 8 tweets
18 Dec
Over 1,123,000 people have cast a vote in the Senate runoff elections in Georgia. Over 30,000 of them did not vote in the general election in November.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Let's start with some demographic breakdowns. The electorate so far is much more racially diverse than we'd expect at this point, but closer to our expectations from an age perspective.

As mentioned previously, young voters tend to vote later: georgiavotes.substack.com/p/1026-who-vot…
The current electorate is just under 55% white. If we include everyone with an approved, outstanding mail ballot that number drops below 54%.

Just as a comparison, the early voting electorate in the general was 56.6% white.
Read 6 tweets
14 Dec
Welcome to the first day of early voting in Georgia's runoff election! The data is going to get a lot fuller and more interesting starting tomorrow, but today we can see where we ended up during the mail-only voting period.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Applications are up to 1.22M, within 7% of where we were for the 2020 general when in-person voting started even with much less time for people to get their applications in.
The racial breakdown for these applicants are much more non-white than what we saw in the general, when about 60% of early voters were white.

White: 53.0%
Black: 31.6%
Hispanic: 2.1%
Asian: 3.2%
Other/Unk: 10.6%
Read 6 tweets
11 Dec
Hooo baby. 46,819 votes recorded yesterday gets us up to 200,995 total votes cast in the runoff elections so far.

And next week we get to start seeing what the early in-person numbers look like too.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Now, this is a dangerous game to play but I've started looking at some numbers based on the # of applications in so far, and the results from the 2020 general election in each county for mail votes.
First, these metrics were very different for President and the 2 Senate races.

Biden won the mail vote by 398,572 votes (65/34)
Ossoff won by 333,437 (62/36)
Combined D's in the special won by 336,740 (62/36)
Read 6 tweets
10 Dec
Yesterday we recorded 32,000 more applications and 42,500 more votes. Vote by mail applications are now within 9% of the general election's total at this point.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Over 3,300 of these people didn't vote in the general election. I don't know who you are or what you were doing, but ok then.

Three times as many people who DIDN'T VOTE (3,366) have already voted, compared to people who voted on election day (1,055) and have voted by mail.
15 counties now have more mail applications in than they recorded mail votes in the general.

The top one is Sumter County (70.3%/29.1% to Biden in mail voting, 52.0%/47.2% overall).
Read 4 tweets

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