A short thread about the recent claims by some "economists" & #climate skeptics that an 8°C rise in temperature would only cut GDP by 4%:
First, it's complete nonsense. That large a temperature rise would destroy the Arctic, flood every coastal city in the world, cripple (1/n)
global agriculture, worsen already severe hurricanes, & disrupt water supplies.
Second, if that's only "4%" of GDP, it's time to acknowledge that GDP is a totally useless measure of well being.
Third, a reminder that breaking your leg or crashing your car raises GDP. But... (2/n)
wiping out a species, destroying an ecosystem, killing 300,000 people in a pandemic has no effect on GDP (or the stock market).
Using traditional economics to understand the consequences of human-caused #climatechange will give you the wrong answers.
(3/3)
(And no, the estimate that it might only be 10% of GDP isn't any better.)
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You think a #climatechange of just a couple of degrees is no big deal?
Around 12000 years ago, the planet abruptly cooled a couple of degrees, setting back humanity's social evolution for over a thousand years.
This cooling period, the Younger Dryas, delayed the transition in the Stone Age from hunter-gatherers to settled agriculture. When the planet warmed again at the beginning of the Holocene, homo sapiens began our slow climb to modern civilization. Now..
With humans changing the #climate by just a degree or so already, we're seeing massive fires, destruction of the Arctic, strengthening storms, species extinctions, environmental refugees. And much worse to come. Ironic...
1/5 A thread:
There is a severe and growing #climate and #water disaster in India.
Delhi just saw its highest ever June temperature of 48C. Churu, Rajasthan saw highs of 50.8C, making it the hottest place on earth.
2/5 Hundreds of Indian villages have evacuated as historic drought forces abandonment of homes in search of water. 80% of districts in Karnataka & 72% in Maharashtra are suffering drought & crop failure. Violent conflicts are growing between the two states over shared #water.
3/5 In Beed, India clean drinking #water is gone. There’s not have enough water to wash clothes, clean dishes, or flush toilets. Hospitals are filling up with people suffering from dehydration and water-related sickness from drinking contaminated water.
1/3 Dear Media, to avoid committing media malpractice, if you invite someone on your show to talk about #climate & they say:
"The climate has always changed."
You must immediately say "No, we understand all observed warming is now human caused, overwhelming any natural changes."
2/3 If they say "It's cold out"
You must immediately say:
You're confusing "weather" and "climate." The world as a whole is warming. One cold day in one place doesn't disprove global climate science.
3/3 If they say "The scientists are only in it for the money" you have two choices:
Say either "Scientists get paid far less than fossil fuel lobbyists & climate deniers, & whatever they're paid has no effect on the validity of the science."
Or call me for a "Fuck you" response.
2/7 Changes in the frequency & intensity of climate extremes are already underway. Climate change is already leading to changes in the frequency, duration, & geographic distribution of severe storms, floods, & droughts. #water#climate#NCA4
3/7 Variable precipitation & rising temperature are intensifying droughts, increasing heavy downpours, & reducing snowpack.
Reduced snow-to-rain ratios are affecting the timing of both water supply & demand. #water#climate#NCA4