We live at a very unusual time. We are among the very first generations who can make progress against large problems.
If we want to make progress against the problems we face, then this fact – that we *can* make progress – needs to be absolutely central to our culture.
Some people are building this culture, but it is still a long way to go.
By and large our culture is still the culture of pre-progress times: our media is not drawing our attention to the large problems we face and our education system is not teaching us that progress is possible.
The government started publishing the positive rate of tests a while ago – that’s very good and I wish all countries would do that.
But as you see the positive rate is still fairly high in many regions so that the true number of cases is likely quite a bit higher.
This is the number of confirmed cases in the whole of Spain and the positive rate in the entire country – both are coming down which suggests that this decline of cases is real and not just due to worsening testing.
The countermeasures against terrorism – including the ‘war on terror’ – were extreme:
It cost trillions of dollars, killed tens of thousand of people, made millions to refugees, reduced civil liberties, legitimized intrusions into privacy.
And it failed entirely to reduce fear.
This looks unfortunately like a huge success for the terrorists.
As Scott Atran says “Perhaps never in the history of human conflict have so few people with so few actual means and capabilities frightened so many.”
The European CDC will soon be switching to weekly data and I see several people concerned that this would create problems for Our World in Data and those who rely on data that they obtain via us.
What the ECDC was pulling off in the last months was really phenomenal.
Very early in the pandemic – when alternative data sources were often extremely bad – the colleagues there woke up at 4 o'clock every morning to bring together reliable data from countries around the world.
We would definitely prefer if the ECDC would continue doing this work, but I very much understand that it needs to come to an end. And it can because there are good alternatives for case and death data available.