The Premier League schedule can just about handle the games that have been postponed... so far.

But the league is on the brink of a fixture crisis, and the failure to entertaining agreeing curtailment / abandonment options may come back and bite them hard.
From the initial fixture build there were three Premier Lague catchup dates built in - the midweeks of March 2, April 20 and May 19.

However, these placeholders were primarily for teams which reached the Carabao Cup final and/or the FA Cup final.
Added to that, even without COVID postponements, if a PL team were to get the semis of the Champions League or Europa League and the final of both domestic cups there aren't enough spare midweeks to fit those games in.

Looking at you, Man City, Man United and Tottenham.
Now it looks like we have the added complication of Tottenham v Fulham being postponed.

If at least one of those clubs remains in the FA Cup through to Round 5, the game can only be played on March 2.

But it could get even more complicated.
If Tottenham reach the Carabao Cup final, they also have to rearrange (coincidentally) Fulham v Tottenham which is due to be played April 24.

If Spurs go far in the UEL and to the FA Cup final, they will have nowhere to play TWO matches before the season deadline of May 23.
Man City can just about manage things at the moment as they can play Everton on January 20 and Chelsea on an empty UCL RO16 week (they are paired with Chelsea in the UCL weeks) and Villa on March 2.

If the EFL semi cannot go ahead next week they also have nowhere to move games.
So this also feeds back into the Premier League clubs "kicking the can down the road" on a curtailment plan.

It's such a massive problem now because every club has their own vested interests again.

This should have been agreed in August with all teams on zero points.
Instead this is groundhog day, with every club having their own reason to fight a particular corner (more than they would have in August).

There is now the realistic prospect of being unable to play all 380 Premier League games by May 23, and it only looks like getting worse.
Other divisions have the chance of playing into June to get their seasons finished, but the Premier League and all other top flights must finish by May 23.

Even if UEFA allowed games through to May 30, that would still discount any club which reached a European final.
In short, clubs like Spurs COULD face the prospect of having to play two games in a midweek (as in September).

Sunday > Tuesday > Thursday > Sunday

And Spurs (and others) might have to do that in both April and May to get the games in.

But we may see more games off yet.
Additional note that this is only a problem for clubs in Europe. And the last two games have involved clubs in Europe.

There is no issue rearranging a game between clubs not in Europe, such as Aston Villa v Newcastle.
And I really need to improve the proof reading of my tweets.
Manchester City’s first-team squad has resumed training today in preparation for their match at Chelsea on Sunday. So that may release some pressure on the fixture list.

I'd suggest it's better than Everton v City is played on Jan. 20 to avoid other problems down the line.
It may well be of course that the PL will make sure both Everton and Man City get their FA Cup games played before rescheduling to Jan. 20.

That's because a postponed FA Cup game could only be played on Jan. 20 ahead of round 4 the following weekend.

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More from @DaleJohnsonESPN

28 Dec 20
It's the Monday VAR thread.

- Penalty incidents at Leeds
- Arsenal / Wolves / Palace penalties
- Brighton handball
- WBA goal

This is not a week when I'll get much appreciation for my opinions, but these are subjective decisions so we can't always agree...
The Leeds penalty is clouded by Nick Pope getting his foot to the ball. But that doesn't mean it cannot be a penalty.

I totally get why many will feel it shouldn't be a penalty, but once the referee has given this there's no chance it gets overturned.
From this image, it seems a clear challenge from the goalkeeper to get to the ball ahead of Patrick Bamford.

There's no problem here, it's a normal attempt to win the ball.

But that doesn't give Pope carte blanche. Image
Read 16 tweets
21 Dec 20
It's your Monday VAR thread! This week:

- Explaining the process of the Newcastle-Fulham penalty
- Red cards
- Few handballs
- A brief return to offside
First, the Newcastle penalty which resulted in a red card for Joachim Andersen via VAR.

The main questions and comments have centred around:
- It was outside the box!
- Why wasn't the referee shown replays?
- How can it be a red card if it's a penalty? (double jeopardy)
First, a reminder of the VAR process.

The ref will explain why he has given the decision, and the VAR will check replays for a clear and obvious error.

So, if ref Graham Scott says Andersen has clipped Callum Wilson's foot, does the VAR have reason to support that?
Read 19 tweets
2 Dec 20
Analysis of how margin of error could have affected all 16 VAR offside decisions in the Prem.

- 5 of 14 disallowed count
- Of the 5, 3 are Liverpool
- Three could have changed result (2 Liverpool)
- Only goal allowed would be ruled out on "Umpire's Call"

A thread.
To start with, if you missed it, here's yesterday's thread explaining how the Eredivisie uses margin of error on VAR offside.

Southampton v Tottenham (Sept. 20)

Goal (scored by Harry Kane) disallowed for offside against Son Heung-Min (0-0, Spurs won 2-5)

VAR DECISION: Offside
WITH MARGIN OF ERROR: Offside

Goal remains disallowed.
Read 18 tweets
1 Dec 20
We need a thread about West Ham v Aston Villa and offside.

The Dutch "margin of error" is suddenly getting traction in the UK media. Which of course you'd have known about two months ago if you followed the Monday VAR thread.

This ain't a silver bullet, but it would be better.
There are a couple important things to debunk.

- "Thicker lines" is misleading
- Players will still be offside by an inch

Which feeds into this discussion between @GNev2 and @Carra23 on MNF, specifically to Gary Neville's point.
The Dutch used "clear and obvious" on offside until this season, opting to introduce Hawk-eye tech as a more accurate tool.

But the lines have NOT been made thicker. It's purely that if the final red and blue lines touch, the decision stays on field. Umpire's call.
Read 16 tweets
30 Nov 20
Here's your Monday VAR thread. Not too long this week because there's not much to talk about, and one incident is related to a few others. So it's just:

- Why Mo Salah could only be given offside
- Brighton's penalty vs. Liverpool

If there's any others unrelated, do ask.
Let's preface this by saying we all hate the marginal offside decisions. There are clear issues with overall accuracy due to a number of factors.

But FIFA says this is the system we must use. So I'm setting out how it's used.
The Mo Salah offside caused a lot of misplaced anger. The whole debate is getting a little tiresome. We have been with Hawkeye offside for almost 16 months now, we know what to expect.

Offsides like Patrick Bamford deserve anger, but this was a standard marginal offside.
Read 17 tweets
23 Nov 20
HANDBALL LAW UPDATE

Just in from the crucial IFAB meeting to decide any clarifications in the 2021-22 laws.

In relation to the handball Law, given that the interpretation of handball incidents has not always been consistent, further clarification is supported.
Notwithstanding the revised 2019-20 wording, it was re-emphasised that the final judgment remains with the referee and not every touch of a player’s hand/arm with the ball is an offence.
For the definition of “unnaturally bigger”, referees should judge the position of the arm in relation to the player’s movement.

While the handball law is not going to be rewritten, it should now be tidied up and clarified from the mess it is in the written laws.
Read 11 tweets

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