We need a thread about West Ham v Aston Villa and offside.

The Dutch "margin of error" is suddenly getting traction in the UK media. Which of course you'd have known about two months ago if you followed the Monday VAR thread.

This ain't a silver bullet, but it would be better.
There are a couple important things to debunk.

- "Thicker lines" is misleading
- Players will still be offside by an inch

Which feeds into this discussion between @GNev2 and @Carra23 on MNF, specifically to Gary Neville's point.
The Dutch used "clear and obvious" on offside until this season, opting to introduce Hawk-eye tech as a more accurate tool.

But the lines have NOT been made thicker. It's purely that if the final red and blue lines touch, the decision stays on field. Umpire's call.
The offside tech in the Eredivisie is the same as in the Premier League.

The red and blue lines are each 142 pixels, which equates to 5cm.

If the two lines touch, it's umpire's call. And this creates a 10cm margin of error on offside.
Let's be absolutely clear. The Premier League wanted to do this but was told it couldn't by FIFA.

Maybe if the Premier League had fully followed VAR protocol last season, and wasn't on FIFA's naughty list, it could have just done it. Because the Dutch didn't get permission.
I contacted the Dutch FA, and was told the Eredivisie is working with a 10cm margin of error on offside as an "operational decision by the league alone," so not done with FIFA or The IFAB.

The same is also true of the Danish Superliga, which you may not see reported...
The Dutch system got a lot of attention after last night's decision at the end of West Ham vs. Villa.

But I'm afraid Watkins would still be offside in the Eredivisie, because the lines don't touch. He would still be offside by an inch.
I think we have to go down the margin of error route to remove the really unpalatable offside decisions, and to show acceptance that the technology is not accurate enough.

But let's not kid ourselves that many of the offsides we think are tight would not still be given.
The issue with umpire's call is, of course, goals can be ruled out when the tech says the player is onside.

FC Twente had this goal disallowed by the linesman. VAR showed the attacker marginally onside.

Lines were touching so stayed as no goal despite the tech result.
This all relies on FIFA, which now controls the VAR project, agreeing that margin of error is the way to go.

Remember, Netherlands and Denmark have gone rogue, and UEFA isn't strict but doesn't say by what method.

All the top European leagues do offside the same as the PL.
The conversation over these marginal offsides is very much on the job sheet of the FIFA Working Group. FIFA fully accepts that they are an issue.

But the real question is whether it can be persuaded that margin or error is an acceptable solution.
I would add that the reason the Watkins offside decision took so long was because the VAR simply had to calculate the offside to two defenders.

Note that the second calculation to the far defender was to try and make Watkins ONSIDE after he was off to the closest defender.
This is why semi-automated offside, one of the key aims of the FIFA Working Group through to 2022, is so important.

It would make the calculation far, far quicker, and remove the "line drawing" of the VAR.

espn.co.uk/football/fifa-…
I won't get bogged down in the penalty claim, but I'll make a couple of general points about it.

Obviously, with what we've seen the last couple of weeks, and with the level on contact on the penalty against Rice, it seems it had to be given.
But devil's advocate. Would there be the same outrage had Watkins missed/saved and the goal not disallowed by VAR? I doubt it.

Also, the frame shared looks like a clear penalty. But in real time (1min 20secs). not slow-mo, does it seem so obvious?

I meant to add this info about the Dutch margin of error, taken from @parool in August. Quotes from KNVB referee coordinator Dick van Egmond.

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More from @DaleJohnsonESPN

2 Dec
Analysis of how margin of error could have affected all 16 VAR offside decisions in the Prem.

- 5 of 14 disallowed count
- Of the 5, 3 are Liverpool
- Three could have changed result (2 Liverpool)
- Only goal allowed would be ruled out on "Umpire's Call"

A thread.
To start with, if you missed it, here's yesterday's thread explaining how the Eredivisie uses margin of error on VAR offside.

Southampton v Tottenham (Sept. 20)

Goal (scored by Harry Kane) disallowed for offside against Son Heung-Min (0-0, Spurs won 2-5)

VAR DECISION: Offside
WITH MARGIN OF ERROR: Offside

Goal remains disallowed. Image
Read 18 tweets
30 Nov
Here's your Monday VAR thread. Not too long this week because there's not much to talk about, and one incident is related to a few others. So it's just:

- Why Mo Salah could only be given offside
- Brighton's penalty vs. Liverpool

If there's any others unrelated, do ask.
Let's preface this by saying we all hate the marginal offside decisions. There are clear issues with overall accuracy due to a number of factors.

But FIFA says this is the system we must use. So I'm setting out how it's used.
The Mo Salah offside caused a lot of misplaced anger. The whole debate is getting a little tiresome. We have been with Hawkeye offside for almost 16 months now, we know what to expect.

Offsides like Patrick Bamford deserve anger, but this was a standard marginal offside.
Read 17 tweets
23 Nov
HANDBALL LAW UPDATE

Just in from the crucial IFAB meeting to decide any clarifications in the 2021-22 laws.

In relation to the handball Law, given that the interpretation of handball incidents has not always been consistent, further clarification is supported.
Notwithstanding the revised 2019-20 wording, it was re-emphasised that the final judgment remains with the referee and not every touch of a player’s hand/arm with the ball is an offence.
For the definition of “unnaturally bigger”, referees should judge the position of the arm in relation to the player’s movement.

While the handball law is not going to be rewritten, it should now be tidied up and clarified from the mess it is in the written laws.
Read 11 tweets
23 Nov
It's your Monday VAR thread, looking at:

- The increasing mess of "clear and obvious"
- Man United penalty
- Handball uncertainty
Regular readers of this thread will know that it's not the VAR's job to make sure a ref gets every decision right.

Otherwise the game is being totally re-refereed to the subjective opinion of the VAR.

The VAR is there to correct CLEAR errors. So it's where we have a problem.
With the WBA and Aston Villa penalties, there was definite contact on the shins of Conor Gallagher and Trezeguet.

So, are we now saying that a feather brush of the ball with the studs rules out a penalty through VAR? But without it (Salah) the penalty stands?
Read 17 tweets
21 Nov
Oh. My. Word.

Orlando goalkeeper Pedro Gallese saves the final spot-kick to send them through to the Conference semifinals.

But the VAR spots that Gallese had come off his line. Retake ordered.

But Gallese had already been booked, and gets a second yellow!

Shootout back on!
This is incredible. Orlando have made a sub to bring goalkeeper Brian Rowe on to take part in the shootout.

But the officials have no idea if Orlando are allowed to do it.

Rowe has been to the goal, back to the bench, and now he's back to the goal!

What the hell is going on.
And now Rowe is back to the bench, outfield player Rodrigo Schlegel goes in goal.

New York City score. But Nani MISSES the winning penalty chance.
Read 10 tweets
9 Nov
It's the Monday VAR thread. A busy one today for some reason.... including:

- Bamford offside
- Handball!
- Barkley offside
Starting with the worst of the weekend, the Patrick Bamford disallowed goal for Leeds at Palace.

There's no point going over the general flaws again, you can read about that in detail in the attached thread, but I'll cover the specifics of this decision.
First a reminder that you can now play the ball with the top of your arm after the law changed in the summer. It's why Mane was offside against Everton too.

And you can score with it; Gabriel already has for Arsenal against Fulham.
Read 29 tweets

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