In other words, #Brexit is a British problem, not a European one.
The minute the referendum was called I expected the UK to vote to leave. Living in the UK for 3 years, and hearing the way people (of all political persuasions) talked about Europe, it seemed inevitable.
What was clear to me was that many British people (of all political persuasions) felt the UK is ‘too big for Europe’. That it was somehow embarrassing to be in EU.
That’s a societal delusion that the EU could never fix. It’s an English problem that needs an English solution.
The EU has plenty of problems that *do* need naval-gazing: its inability to stop rule of law dismantling in its East, unanimity requirements creating deadlock, reliance on the US security umbrella, just to name a few.
Why add to that list a problem that belongs to someone else?
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Incredible. 11 Republican Senators and a majority of House Republicans will vote to reject the 2020 US election result and instead appoint Trump president themselves.
The coup is failing because Joe Biden's election victory (7 million more votes and unassailable leads in the battleground states) wasn't narrow enough for it to work.
But what if it had been closer? Think about how close we came to democratic collapse and possible civil war.
Europeans cannot 🙈🙉🙊 and pretend the US is a different place than it is right now. Biden's win does not make everything go back to normal.
Europe is allowing itself to be dependent on an unstable country that has just narrowly averted collapse.
UK students have been benefitting from #Erasmus pan-EU education exchange for 35 years. 200,000 people are now taking part. They'll suddenly lose access in 6 days.
@BorisJohnson insisted that UK students wouldn't lose this education after #Brexit. Now he says it's too expensive.
Yesterday's #BrexitDeal is the first free trade deal in history to disintegrate a trading partnership rather than build a new one, erecting and defining barriers between markets. politico.eu/article/uk-eu-…
One of the most extraordinary aspects of these negotiations is that both sides fought so intensively over fish, a very small part of their economy.
But the UK didn't put up much of a fight on services, which is *80%* of the UK's economic activity.
There is no provision for financial services in the #BrexitDeal. Passporting that allowed automatic access for British firms to EU market, will suddenly end in 6 days.
This will make a heavy impact on the UK economy given 40% of the UK's exports to the EU are services.
”This will be as hard a Brexit as anything but no deal, and much harder than might have been expected after the relatively narrow referendum result" economist.com/britain/2020/1…
The 'hard' and 'soft' terms seem to have gotten warped over the past 4 years (especially, I notice, in US media).
After 2016 referendum Theresa May had to choose: soft Brexit (Norway), semi-hard Brexit (Turkey), or hard Brexit (Morocco). She chose the latter, hoping for an FTA.
The #BrexitDeal leaves UK as the only Western European country outside the EU single market.
Listening to @BorisJohnson's presser, you'd be forgiven for thinking the UK was *joining* the EU rather than leaving - such was his focus on benefits of supposedly zero-tariff trade.
UK govt spokesperson: "This agreement allows the beginning of a new relationship between the UK and the EU. One that we have always wanted - a thriving trading and economic relationship between a sovereign UK and our European partners and friends."
UK spokes says the #BrexitDeal just agreed ensures:
💷100% tariff liberalisation.
📦No constraints for UK investors & service suppliers on EU market access
👩⚖️Future law enforcement and judicial cooperation
They've agreed contours and overcome the 3 big hurdles: level playing field, governance and fisheries access.
But last-minute technical specifications such as fish stocks are taking some time. This is a very complicated deal.
Latest:
Any EU27 leader could veto the Commission's agreement in the next days.
On UK side, Johnson technically doesn't need parliament approval. But politically, he'll want support of ERG MPs. Will they be angry that he gave in on LPF rules they've said will make UK a "client state"?