Unsurprisingly, being locked down over Xmas and New Year turns thoughts to family – and to my brother who died almost 14 years ago in a motorbike accident when he was 39.
First some context: Andreas was 8 years older than me – big difference when we were kids, but we were close as adults and instant messaged every day (yahoo messenger! remember that?!).
Last week I found some of the message chats we used to have that I collated for his funeral & they made me laugh out loud and miss him all over again. So I wanted to share some of my funny, quirky brother with the world – here goes…
He worked at Yahoo doing difficult coding. He loved coffee (with milk). He was also very funny.
He was a computer wizard – there was nothing he couldn’t code. I was and remain a rank amateur compared to him.
My brother was known to be of a literal turn of mind and there was a running joke that I was training him out of it. (PS they did go to California that summer – a trip my dad treasures now).
As a family we would meet often, especially at Christmas, and play games all day which we loved. In 2004 & 2005 my sister had my nieces which changed things a little for a while :-)
Neither me nor my brother were great with small kids but we managed 😊. 2007 was the last Christmas we had as a complete family. As it happens, my (now) teenage nieces are delightful, love games and he would have loved spending Christmas with them. And I got old but he didn’t.
I was also the one who tended to end up suggesting presents for him to buy for birthdays and Christmases…
As siblings, we parcelled out responsibilities
We both worked in central London in the years before he died and had lunch often. Arranging lunch meetings could sometimes be a trial...
In 2005, I’d recently returned from 3 yrs working in the US and Andreas had been on a hiking holiday with me in Montana. He fell in love with the US scenery then and went back as often as he could in the 2 years after that.
We talked about it often and were planning more hiking holidays together.
Weirdly enough, a few days before he died he had a very minor motorbike accident… eventually was admitted to hospital overnight for observation but he was fine and went home the next day.
Below is the last conversation I ever had with him – discussing where to go together that summer. He died that night, just after midnight, hit by a car which turned into his path.
We never did get to do that summer holiday. My (now) husband & I did eventually do both the Norway and the US trip Andreas and I discussed all those years ago. They were amazing. Even now, whenever we are somewhere beautiful, we think of him and wish he could be there to see it.
Well that’s it. I found these messages again and am glad I did. And now you all know a bit about my lovely brother too. END
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First cases are continuing to go up everywhere and we are starting to get past the Christmas testing / reporting drops.
Worryingly, new data from ONS shows that the new variant is clearly now spreading in all regions.
The number of people being admitted to hospital with Covid-19 is shooting up too. On 29th Dec, we were only a few hundred lower than we were at April peak.
We are very likely to exceed this in a few days.
And these rising admissions are in the context of full hospitals - we are *already* at about 4,000 more Covid patients in hospital than at peak.
This is BEFORE any impact from Christmas. It's bad out there.
THREAD: Some information on the spread of the new Covid variant across England from @ONS infection survey - ONLY goes up to 18th December. We urgently need last week's data. BUT up to 18th Dec this is where we were:
The following plots show the proportion of the ONS sample who tested positive for Covid broken down by whether it was "normal" Covid (blue) or the new variant (red).
In London, SE and East of England the new variant was a small proportion of overall infections until end Nov, when it started taking off. Its rapid spread and dominance in this corner of England is pretty evident..
THREAD: Where are we with Covid-19 in England now that the new tiers have started?
TLDR: nowhere good and things are quite scary. 1/13
Firstly, overall cases are rising sharply. Over 40,000 people tested on 21st Dec, tested positive - just in *England*. (this is "specimen date", not "reporting date"). 2/13
Looking at it regionally, the SE is still the epicentre of new cases. London cases per 100K people now *much* higher than anywhere in the North in Oct/Nov.
BUT everywhere is going up. This is *not* just a Southern problem. 3/13
TINY THREAD: Tier 4, potential Tier 4, Covid Spread in two plots.
Takeaway - Tier 4 is surrounded by Tier 2 areas - those Tier 2 areas are rising much faster than Tier 2 areas further away from Tier 4. Govt must act now. 1/4
Firstly, just looking at weekly cases per 100,000 people within each of the (current) tiers you can see that Tier 4 dipped much less in lockdown, started rising just before and is accelerating faster than the NE and NW ever did. Only Tier 3 is sort of stable. 2/4
Secondly, if we look at Tier 2 areas in regions near Tier 4 (East, SE, E Mid) they are now *also* rising much faster than Tier 2 areas in regions that are further away (NW, NE, Yorks, SW, W Mids). 3/4
CHRISTMAS THREAD: In today's @independentsage briefing @SusanMichie took us through this incredibly helpful 10-point plan from SAGE Spi-B, which she co-wrote. Here are the key points!! 1/5
The safest way to meet is online or outdoors... this remains the most important principle. 2/5
Whether you decide to meet inside, outside or not at all, every household should make a plan together - so that everyone knows what is happening and to prevent misunderstandings, hurt feelings, arguments... 3/5
Firstly, cases are continuing to come down in Scotland, NI and England. This is good. Welsh cases have gone up a bit over last 2 weeks tho, a few weeks after their firebreak ended, since when they've had fewest restrictions in UK.
Note that...
...Some of increase is cos Wales is testing more (GOOD) but some is more transmission, as seen in recent (small) increase in positivity rates from case data *and* ONS infection survey.