Resolution: no drink and no showing how I read accounts, so grab a bottle of absinthe and let's look at $TRIT

A mysterious stranger appears from a foreign land.

"Play me the music of your people", you ask

It's like nothing you've ever heard but it's everything you've ever felt
You fix the stranger in your gaze

"Where did the cash go?"
"Onto the balance sheet, it is the custom of my people"
"Oh stranger", you cry, "let us SPAC this bitch up"

Narrator: time passes, they have come public and they are *flying*
You've pulled a 180 and got everyone to start paying.

Your receivables drop from $18.7M to $15.4M

Balance sheet: golden
Sure there's a bit of leakage but your business is blowing up in the good way: you've turned those profits into $5.7M more cash.
Sure, development expenses are going up.. a little?
But at least you're not actually paying any tax
Nope, definitely not doing *that*
But you do now have $5M more than you did when you started.. so?

Ok, focus on the details and don't worry about this.
And don't worry about this
And you can GTFO if you try to bring this up
Instead. Cast your mind back to the previous period - the one where the cashflow didn't *quite* match the profit

1 of 3: Issue "debt" of $5M
2 of 3: Issue shares of $5M
3: Pay "debt" of $5M to.. someone.

Narrator: there are no related party issues here
Narrator: there are no related party issues here
Narrator: there are no related party issues here

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More from @hareng_rouge

2 Jan
Iceberg might have a point here

$WW is Weight Watchers
Don't worry, not going on a bender with filings

T9M figures last 4 years. Yes it's a bit stagnant in the numbers and costs up / profit down a little etc but the COGs numbers are roughly consistent. You could imagine a jump in revenues flowing through quite well.

2018 was Oprah Image
Fair to guess lots of New Year gym sign-ups are postponed or never happen and more NY lose weight / get fit resolutions than usual find their way here instead?

Cashflow behaves roughly the same. More SBC, bit more capex. Image
Read 5 tweets
30 Dec 20
Very hairy: this company was going down the toilet even before covid; it's now a wreck - and even better, it's enormously exposed to Chinese solar. BK isn't off the cards and the upside may not even be that great. Chart is back to Jan 2017. Singulus from Germany #SNG.DE Image
It's a German maker of high end capital goods for solar, semi and life sciences: glass and wafer deposition / polishing, that kind of area.

How it started:

Revenues & Ebit
2017: €91m & -€1.2m
2018: €127m & +€6.8M
2019: €79M & -€8.0M
And in all it's glory, here's how it's going:

Revenues in 9M20 YTD a third of an already bad 2019. Goes from breakeven to -€20M loss and even achieves a negative gross margin, quite the achievement. Image
Read 17 tweets
5 Nov 20
I'll keep this brief, I think Magnachip $MX, for good reason, could finally be starting to rerate.

It's the RT below: foundry divestment - now it has hit the balance sheet. Today it's 0.6x EV/FY20 revenues and by 2023 their aim is 8% FCF. This is way too cheap. Image
You naturally assume they're a melting ice cube; they're not, they grow. They're reliably prolific in getting design wins and have plenty to look forward to, like the below. Image
It's still a cyclical end-market business but less so with the boom and bust of foundry gone. Now with the cash in the filings, it can screen cheap. The whole idea is simple: if they hit or even approach the targets, an IP led company doesn't trade at a fraction of revenues. Image
Read 18 tweets
5 Oct 20
There's a thread by @Mitch198509 about $NFIN, a SPAC for a trade finance platform. It uses blockchain and at that point in the presentation I stopped. Forget it, of course.

But I read it again, then the proxy, then I put it in front of a trade finance lawyer. Could be something
Those numbers are projections I pulled from the proxy. Earn-outs on either share price X by certain dates, or 90% of the above EBITDA being achieved.

Doesn't need to get a $NCNO to $MKTX multiple to work from here but we can dream.

HY20: Revenue $24M / Ebitda: $17M / Net $14M
What they do in 1 tweet:

Platform for trade finance. TF is slow, paper-intensive, expensive and inaccessible for little fish: company says $1.5T unmet need with 60% of requests refused. Triterras (the biz NFIN is SPACing) brings KYC pre-qualified borrowers and lenders together.
Read 12 tweets
29 Sep 20
Satisfyingly, 's 1996 annual report looks like the intro credits to Saved By The Bell.

It's also how far back I had to go to find when their R&D spending matches what 's is today: 24 years Image
$1,547 was AMD's 2019 R&D expense. I'm looking at this because I've made the mistake both here - in ignoring AMD at $5 - and elsewhere, of assuming that a tech incumbent's huge advantage in spend should necessarily provide some kind of moat. Image
Intel spends in a year what it takes AMD almost a decade to afford Image
Read 4 tweets
20 Sep 20
Just noticed an oddity about the stocks I hold. Is there a good explanation for this? Image
Image
Results of this study are in and it turns out companies are keen on being at the front of the phone book Image
Read 4 tweets

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