2. with physician and sociologist @JonathanMetzl whose book Dying of Whiteness How the Politics of Racial Resentment is Killing America's Heartland presents several years of research to support his thesis that many white Americans are embracing white racial grievance politics (&
3. its accompanying policies) even when those policies make them poorer, less healthy, and even shortens their life spans. ANYTHING is better than that socialism stuff, after all. Metzl finds much of white voter obstince stems from the bostonreview.net/race/jonathan-…
4. the fact that in order to help themselves, they have to be willing to help others & since those "others" include racial minorities & improving the lives of minorities, which these white voters see as undermining their "superior" position in the social hierarchy (what Isabella
5. Williamson would correctly ID as caste. Yes, those are sarcasm quotes!) They'd rather die from liver disease (well, at least while it's theoretical) than vote to expand Medicaid & see "illegals" (more sarcasm quotes) get "their" (yep, sarcasm again) $ for free health care 🙄
6. I'm also excited to add that in the evening (btw, this will be Tues evening, the night of the GA Senate Runoffs!) while we're all waiting on returns, I'll be holding a live Q & A with Johnathan for paid subscribers to The Cycle-On Substack about the podcast, his research, &
7. Trump's efforts to rile up his base to protest his DEMOCRATIC LOSS on Jan 6th at what should be a completely unnoticed formality in Congress! The live Q&A Zoom event will run from 6pm-7pm. All paid subscribers will auto receive an email with an invite & link for the event (as
8. of 3pm Tues. Jan. 5th). Each sign-in will be verified by matching your screen name to your registered email.Good times! If you haven't read it, I def recommend Johnathan's book!
1. Y'all I've got some cool guests/content coming for the @ElectionWsphr pods on The Cycle-On Substack. Morning of Tues the 5th I'll drop the pod w @JonathanMetzl about whether Dying for Whiteness might extend to dying for Trump (don't forget, paid subscribers will be invited to
2. a special Q & A live convo w Jonathan Metzl & I from 6pm-7pm as we anxiously await the results from the GA Senate runoffs!) Going to have @marceelias from the @DemocracyDocket come on & tell us the story of their frontline battle over the past year against the GOP's shameful
3. assault against democracy- which started bad. Republicans exploited the suspension of the Voting Rights Act to close polling locations, pass voter restrictions that wouldn't have survived DOJ review (well maybe Barr's DOJ!) and ending early voting days- anything, anywhere
1. Yes, Trump will claim to intend to target GOP senators up for reelection in '22 (like he did to Thune with Kristi Noem) if they don't join in @HawleyMO's sedition on Jan. 6, but the fact is, it's not clear whether Trump will be successful in ANY of those efforts & voting yes
2. to hedge off these threats will also create fissures & fractures for these incumbents among other elements of their party that could complicate their renominations. Indeed, what worries me the most about the potential for the country to slip into @anneapplebaum territory is
3. that what should be robust and intense push back from the party establishment against actually ending democracy- bc that's what Trump's request would do, if it was granted, is fairly muted. What we SHOULD be seeing from the mainstream of the party is threats to strip committee
Yes, actually that's kind of the problem these days.
All the 🔥takes will be shown to be wrong once the voter file data & analysis like this one w the FULL RESULTS get done, which is why I'VE NOT PUBLISHED MY 🔥TAKE IN NYT yet
There is ONE STORY in elections right now and its education. Its not rural vs urban, or Black and White, Latino and White
Its educated versus non-educated
And its global
1. I'll add that it's very imp that Ds understand, crystal clear, this fact (that edu is the divide that rules all other divides). After Parscale's success in 2020 the GOP will now double down on their efforts to come after non-college educated, non-white voters bc now they KNOW
That's right! My @SubstackInc is finally live!!! I'd be deeply honored to have you subscribe in any capacity so that my content arrives right into your inbox!
2. It's the desire to hurt or maybe even kill your political opponent! Mason & Kalmoe discuss how partisan schadenfreude leads to a lethal mass partisanship while Webster discusses his new book on neg partisanship- American Rage stevenwwebster.com/7americanrage.…
1. Are you totally obsessed w the #GASenateRunOffs? Check out this amazing tool from @OldBullTV & @OpenModelProj that let's YOU take a deep, interactive dive into their survey data to see the impact of diff weights & turnout models so you can understand how polling data is VERY
2., dependent on the decisions made by survey researchers. Everything from the Qs included in the polls (AND how those Qs get asked AND how respondents are allowed to respond) to the "under the hood" stuff like the weights used for things like age, race, gender, & education.
3. Most people do not understand that these decisions are imposed on the data and that the results then, come out a certain way. This means that one researcher imposing one set of decisions, based on one set of assumptions could analyze the same data as another researcher and get
1. I think so. I don't think the issue are plans. The issue is that the ability of our govn't to function-to create & enact policy- has been seriously abridged the past decade to the point where it can't function. We've seen virtually no legislation this past decade & pretty
2. much none relying on just "regular order." Although the Ds spent almost a year trying w the ACA before giving up & using a procedural trick in the end. Keep in mind, McConnell changed the operation of senate so that all bills, ALL, had to reach 60 vote threshold in the senate
3. That was a MASSIVE change to the legislative filibuster (a massive abuse of it). It creates a super majority requirement for laws that the Framers didn't design. And given the issue of misrepresentation the senate, which is causing a Tyranny of the Minority, its really shut