1. Y'all I've got some cool guests/content coming for the @ElectionWsphr pods on The Cycle-On Substack. Morning of Tues the 5th I'll drop the pod w @JonathanMetzl about whether Dying for Whiteness might extend to dying for Trump (don't forget, paid subscribers will be invited to
2. a special Q & A live convo w Jonathan Metzl & I from 6pm-7pm as we anxiously await the results from the GA Senate runoffs!) Going to have @marceelias from the @DemocracyDocket come on & tell us the story of their frontline battle over the past year against the GOP's shameful
3. assault against democracy- which started bad. Republicans exploited the suspension of the Voting Rights Act to close polling locations, pass voter restrictions that wouldn't have survived DOJ review (well maybe Barr's DOJ!) and ending early voting days- anything, anywhere
4. where the Rep Party controlled government and worried Ds would beat them in 2020 (keep in mind, if not for 2018 & the flipping of WI & MI govs to Ds, given the depths that the Rep Party has shown us they are willing to go, its possible Biden might not have won- ESP WI). But
5. as bad as the election cycle started, it ended far, far worse, as Marc will describe a full blown assault on democracy itself. Its a story everyone followed in real time, and got in bits & pieces, but thought it would be great to get a full recount that pulls it all together &
6. really documents the intensity the legal teams were facing (survival of our democracy itself- no biggie!). Also have an episode with @MaryLTrump that I am super jazzed about! I have loved every appearance she'd had on cable & a pod will allow for a deep dive into her book on
7. Donald Trump, her uncle which I know filled in so many holes for me and also affirmed my own "armchair" diagnosis that the man, in addition to being a mean S.O.B. is also crazy. amazon.com/Too-Much-Never…
8. Speaking of Trump, as we get through January, eventually somehow we WILL actually dislodge this crazy tyrant from the presidency (at least) and once he's a private citizen, there is a lot, and I mean A LOT of exposure he's facing, which is why he's fighting like a cornered cat
9. become Saddam Hussein. Dude is terrified of becoming a private citizen again bc of the amount of criminal exposure he has- lots of which stems from a lifetime of being a grifter. So @NickNehamas & his co-author will walk us through some of Trump's amazon.com/Grifters-Club-…
10. Grift. You might want to bring some nose clips for that episode- Don the Con is dirtier than a baby's diaper in the morning! If you haven't already subscribed- you can do that here! thecycle.substack.com

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More from @RachelBitecofer

4 Jan
1. Much the Founders put into the Constitution to prevent Trump/deal w him was left unused by us.

Most notable/imp though was the Electoral College itself. If we'd been able to import the FFs to witness 2016, they'd have been yelling "use the EC to blackball his presidency!"
2. Literally, the process we're watching play out right now, the very process that Trump is trying to illegally subvert & corrupt to hold onto power, that process is the process the FFs put in place in case the public did something NUTS that elites needed to overrule. And you
3. don't get any more nuts than giving the prez to a guy like Donald Trump! A guy who could never pass your own govn't's classified clearance processes (hell, this dude couldn't pass many company's employment background processes). A guy who can't be trusted w classified info
Read 5 tweets
2 Jan
1. Yes, Trump will claim to intend to target GOP senators up for reelection in '22 (like he did to Thune with Kristi Noem) if they don't join in @HawleyMO's sedition on Jan. 6, but the fact is, it's not clear whether Trump will be successful in ANY of those efforts & voting yes
2. to hedge off these threats will also create fissures & fractures for these incumbents among other elements of their party that could complicate their renominations. Indeed, what worries me the most about the potential for the country to slip into @anneapplebaum territory is
3. that what should be robust and intense push back from the party establishment against actually ending democracy- bc that's what Trump's request would do, if it was granted, is fairly muted. What we SHOULD be seeing from the mainstream of the party is threats to strip committee
Read 9 tweets
1 Jan
1. America's 1st fascist pres will host his anti-democracy rally of neo-nazis, KKK asshats, white nationalists, fascists, conspiracy theorists, bigots, xenophobes, & polite racists at 11am.

The day before I'll release a pod on The Cycle-On Substack which will be a convo
2. with physician and sociologist @JonathanMetzl whose book Dying of Whiteness How the Politics of Racial Resentment is Killing America's Heartland presents several years of research to support his thesis that many white Americans are embracing white racial grievance politics (&
3. its accompanying policies) even when those policies make them poorer, less healthy, and even shortens their life spans. ANYTHING is better than that socialism stuff, after all. Metzl finds much of white voter obstince stems from the bostonreview.net/race/jonathan-…
Read 8 tweets
31 Dec 20
Yes, actually that's kind of the problem these days.

All the 🔥takes will be shown to be wrong once the voter file data & analysis like this one w the FULL RESULTS get done, which is why I'VE NOT PUBLISHED MY 🔥TAKE IN NYT yet

We'll have to decide if we want it fast, or right
There is ONE STORY in elections right now and its education. Its not rural vs urban, or Black and White, Latino and White

Its educated versus non-educated

And its global
1. I'll add that it's very imp that Ds understand, crystal clear, this fact (that edu is the divide that rules all other divides). After Parscale's success in 2020 the GOP will now double down on their efforts to come after non-college educated, non-white voters bc now they KNOW
Read 15 tweets
30 Dec 20
1. Excited to announce my 1st @ElectionWsphr @substack The Cycle-On Substack is live!!

That's right! My @SubstackInc is finally live!!! I'd be deeply honored to have you subscribe in any capacity so that my content arrives right into your inbox!

thecycle.substack.com/p/the-election…
It features an all-⭐️panel of political scientists @LilyMasonPhD, @NathanKalmoe, & @stevenwwebster- each experts in neg. partisanship & partisan schadenfreude

What?!

What's that you say?!
2. It's the desire to hurt or maybe even kill your political opponent! Mason & Kalmoe discuss how partisan schadenfreude leads to a lethal mass partisanship while Webster discusses his new book on neg partisanship- American Rage stevenwwebster.com/7americanrage.…
Read 15 tweets
30 Dec 20
1. Are you totally obsessed w the #GASenateRunOffs? Check out this amazing tool from @OldBullTV & @OpenModelProj that let's YOU take a deep, interactive dive into their survey data to see the impact of diff weights & turnout models so you can understand how polling data is VERY
2., dependent on the decisions made by survey researchers. Everything from the Qs included in the polls (AND how those Qs get asked AND how respondents are allowed to respond) to the "under the hood" stuff like the weights used for things like age, race, gender, & education.
3. Most people do not understand that these decisions are imposed on the data and that the results then, come out a certain way. This means that one researcher imposing one set of decisions, based on one set of assumptions could analyze the same data as another researcher and get
Read 7 tweets

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