Here's what gets me about so so so many people and their response to the Swedish pandemic failure.

This is literally true ....

Sweden: We want the virus to spread
Norway: We want to stop the virus spreading

And then people are wondering why more people died in Sweden?
Was it immigrants? Population density? Age structure? Poor aged care? Timing of holidays? "Dry tinder" etc etc etc etc

There's a new freaking excuse every week or two.
Here, again, is the Deputy Chief Epidemiologist of Sweden

"The disadvantage of a complete lockdown is that there is not so much spread of infection ..."

Get that? Low spread of the virus is a *disadvantage*.

Chief Epidemiologist Tegnell is on public record saying we don't want the spread virus to spread "more than necessary" - ie there's a necessary amount of spread.

Former Chief Epidemiologist (and paid consultant to Tegnell) Johan Giesecke is on record saying we need to let the virus spread and advising other countries to do the same.

breakingnews.ie/ireland/let-vi…

NONE OF THIS IS A SECRET.

Sweden's strategy includes letting the virus spread.
Do you think, just MAYBE, letting the virus spread leads to more people being infected?

And that just MAYBE it's possible that more people being infected by a deadly disease leads to more people dying?

Is that maybe a plausible explanation for Sweden's death toll?

Maybe?

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More from @DavidSteadson

2 Jan
@bills_n_thrills points out another complete lie from Anders Tegnell about the Sweden's place in Europe.

He states, unequivocally, that Sweden was lowest in Europe during summer.
Here is the daily mortality data for the Northern European Countries during summer.

At no point is Sweden the lowest of even it's neighbours
Even if we take cases, at a time when Sweden was testing *way* less than most other countries, Sweden also fails to come even close to being lowest.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
In today's Folkhälsomyndigheten preference conference, when Tegnell was asked why Sweden differs so much from our neighbours, he said it was our neighbours that were the outliers, Sweden was similar to the rest of Europe.

Here's how Sweden looks like compared to the EU average.
When @AnneliMegnerArn pointed out that Sweden was actually one of the worst in Europe, he then said it was because we were in a different phase to the other countries, having started wave 2 later.

In reality, we're far higher than the *peak* EU average of cases.
So Tegnell's excuse changed from "we're like the rest of Europe, not the Nordics" to "we're not like the rest of Europe" within the space of about 90 seconds.

When any excuse will do, any excuse will do - and this has been constant over the last 10 months.
Read 4 tweets
1 Jan
Non-Swedish followers are probably not aware, but this week in a "cultural" piece, Swedish state epidemiologist Anders Tegnell, when asked what the "Year's pandemic" was, answered "hobby epidemiologists".
So let's talk about Anders Tegnell and epidemiology.

Epidemiology is the study of patterns of disease (and health) in a society. While today we're all discussing it re a virus, it applies also to studies of things like alcohol abuse, obesity etc, not just communicable diseases.
What is the #1 field of skill and knowledge needed in epidemiology?

In my opinion, statistics. Now, statistics alone is not enough, but it is *necessary* to have a reasonably good handle on statistics to understand (or do) epidemiology.
Read 17 tweets
1 Jan
Well, Happy New Year everyone. Many people did not survive 2020, if you're reading this, you did!

Congratulations!

One thing I am *extremely* grateful for from 2020 though is the incredible number of new friends I have made this past year, primarily through twitter
I started the year rarely using twitter and with maybe 100 or so followers. I ended it with more than 3000, many of whom are far smarter, more experienced, and more qualified than I to talk about a pandemic, but apparently they found my contributions of interest.
For that, I am extremely flattered and thankful!

Some of them I'm now proud to call friends, despite the pandemic having prevented us from yet meeting in real life. Hopefully that will change for many of you before this spin around the sun is complete.
Read 11 tweets
11 Nov 20
A little perspective for all the "it's just old people" brigade.

I turn 52 in exactly a month. Prior to #longcovid I was the healthiest I've been in my life, and the fittest since I was a teen - and with zero health issues.

I've just checked the Swedish data from my age group -
In Sweden, for those aged 50-59 who have tested positive for Sars-CoV-2, 1 in 40 have ended up in ICU and more than 1 in 200 have died.

This includes both men and women -
Men though, have ended up in ICU at more than double the rate of women, despite women having more +ve tests.

This means the odds of a 50-59 year old man who tests positive ending up in ICU are closer to 1 in 30 or even 1 in 20.
Read 4 tweets
10 Nov 20
35 New #COVID19sverige deaths reported today, taking the Folkhälsomyndigheten total to 6057. The oldest change was +3 to October 29, four separate days (Nov 1,4,6,7) had 5 new deaths reported.

A clear uptick in the cumulative deaths curve is now apparent.
The rolling 7 day average is rapidly increasing, and the 10-14 day lag in reporting is clear in this graph, with each line representing the averages as presented each reporting day. The most recent data is the line that ends furthest to the right.
Once fully updated, this data will likely show we are average well over 10 deaths per day at the moment.

The Swedish Palliative Care Registry is reporting 74 Covid deaths so far in November, an increase of 42 since Friday.
Read 12 tweets

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