Best way to think about GA state of play w/o getting caught up in lean/tilt semantics or overanalyzing EV entrails: Ds have done enough to win, but not enough to put it out of reach. Leader in the clubhouse watching the last pairing. Rs need a strong day but nothing unreasonable.
Which is why most of the late "movement" here is illusory--rapid shift in CW is mostly a function of people scrambling to compensate for a bad initial read. This was always going to be a win-ugly, down to the wire race. We now know Dems aren't going to lose it; Rs have to go win.
And as tempting as it is to pin the outcome on the shiny objects of the last week or two, Rs' shot at hitting their requisite numbers is built on 8 weeks of presidential scale ground game and mobilization efforts. 1M+ votes isn't built or crumbled overnight, even w/ DJT in town.
The Trump rally is big symbolically of course, and will be breathlessly covered that way, but it's specifically targeted to pick up the slack and drive up the volume in the most GOP-leaning and least-EV-inclined part of the state. These folks listen to him.
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