It's our last daily update before we start getting actual results and there have been 3,093,375 votes recorded. That's an increase of 51,679 over yesterday, with ballots coming from 153 of 159 counties.
This isn't all of the early votes as we'll still have some received today both via the mail and drop boxes. Plus there may be some more ballots that have been received but not processed yet. So we can probably expect another 50-70k to get added during the counting.
For what it's worth, my rough model says that those 52k votes probably netted the Democratic candidates and extra 15k votes of net margin.
Black vote has ended up right below 31% of the total early vote, and has continued to run ahead of same-day performance from the general nearly every day.
And so with that, I guess we'll chat more at 7pm!
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Thanks to my buddy running around Cherokee County I’ve got a few precinct-specific results for you.
Woodstock
Perdue - 1,088 (69%)
Ossoff - 497 (31%)
Loeffler - 1,071 (68%)
Warnock - 513 (32%)
Was 66.3%/33.7% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 959 total votes. Slight over-performance on sig more votes. Given the low early vote numbers, Rs would hope for more.
Neese
Perdue - 1,176 (71%)
Ossoff - 471 (29%)
Loeffler - 1,154 (70%)
Warnock - 492 (30%)
Was 70.0%/30.0% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 1,060 total votes. Similar story to above.
We've made it through the full early voting period, with just a few more days of mail votes to count. 3,032,066 votes have been cast so far, and today we'll try to read some tea leaves.
As we go through the rest of this it's important to remember that the Election Day margins for the 3 major races in GA were:
Trump +217,250
Perdue +215,208
R's in the Special +200,108
That's what came from almost 1M Election Day voters.
First, how do these votes look if you take the county-by-county vote totals for mail and in-person voting and apply the November election results by voting method to them?
We have to solve few more problems to answer that well.
91,165 of those voters didn't vote in the November election, a percentage that just keeps growing and is now at 3.6%. There are more voters who didn't vote in November so far than there are voters who voted on Election Day (78,804, 3.1% of the total).
Black voters continue to make up over 31% of the total electorate, vs just under 28% in the November early vote.
Yesterday's turnout was 28.1% Black vs 23.7% on the same day for November voting. Here's your @Nate_Cohn-esque chart.
Big day of voting yesterday brings us up to 2,337,477 total votes in the January runoffs. Lots of other folks have written some good stuff this morning so today's thread is a series of links.
Here's @Nate_Cohn to start us off with daily breakdowns by race. Takeaway: only one single day of early voting saw Black voters with a lower share of the electorate than the same day in November.