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6 Jan, 7 tweets, 1 min read
Thanks to my buddy running around Cherokee County I’ve got a few precinct-specific results for you.
Woodstock
Perdue - 1,088 (69%)
Ossoff - 497 (31%)

Loeffler - 1,071 (68%)
Warnock - 513 (32%)

Was 66.3%/33.7% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 959 total votes. Slight over-performance on sig more votes. Given the low early vote numbers, Rs would hope for more.
Neese
Perdue - 1,176 (71%)
Ossoff - 471 (29%)

Loeffler - 1,154 (70%)
Warnock - 492 (30%)

Was 70.0%/30.0% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 1,060 total votes. Similar story to above.
Little River
Perdue - 1,081 (76%)
Ossoff - 346 (24%)

Loeffler - 1,070 (75%)
Warnock - 358 (25%)

Was 70.0%/30.0% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 935 total votes. This is more of what Rs hoped for with their E-Day wave. More voters, and better margins.
Arnold Mill
Perdue - 1,174 (83%)
Ossoff - 243 (17%)

Loeffler - 1,168 (83%)
Warnock - 247 (17%)

Was 81.8%/18.2% to Trump in a 2-party comparison on 11/3 with 947 total votes. So again, probably not enough.
Cherokee County was the 3rd worst county from and early vote perspective. They needed to pick up an extra 350 votes per precinct just to cover full E-Day and get early vote equivalent up to 80%, which is still low.
So there were votes, but it doesn't look like it came with a major change in the vote breakdown.

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More from @gtryan

Ryan Anderson Profile picture
5 Jan
It's our last daily update before we start getting actual results and there have been 3,093,375 votes recorded. That's an increase of 51,679 over yesterday, with ballots coming from 153 of 159 counties.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
This isn't all of the early votes as we'll still have some received today both via the mail and drop boxes. Plus there may be some more ballots that have been received but not processed yet. So we can probably expect another 50-70k to get added during the counting.
Top-10 counties for votes added yesterday

9,722 - Fulton
6,194 - DeKalb
4,555 - Cobb
4,007 - Gwinnett
2,786 - Chatham

2,234 - Forsyth
1,811 - Henry
1,341 - Bibb
1,212 - Cherokee
1,105 - Paulding
Read 6 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
3 Jan
We've made it through the full early voting period, with just a few more days of mail votes to count. 3,032,066 votes have been cast so far, and today we'll try to read some tea leaves.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
As we go through the rest of this it's important to remember that the Election Day margins for the 3 major races in GA were:

Trump +217,250
Perdue +215,208
R's in the Special +200,108

That's what came from almost 1M Election Day voters.
First, how do these votes look if you take the county-by-county vote totals for mail and in-person voting and apply the November election results by voting method to them?

We have to solve few more problems to answer that well.
Read 19 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
31 Dec 20
We added almost 250,000 votes yesterday, bringing total turnout to 2,812,994.

Black voters continue to make up over 31% of total voters and 37.6% of voters who didn't vote in November.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Turnout and rates by 2020 primary party ballot.

D: 914,202 - 74.0% turnout
R: 651,935 - 61.2% turnout

Then another 1,246,857 folks who either voted on a non-partisan ballot or didn't vote in the primary.
Demographic breakdown of those non-primary voters.

Female - 52.6%
Male - 47.0%

White - 55.1%
Black - 27.9%
Hispanic - 3.1%
Asian - 3.8%
Other/Unk - 10.1%

18-29 - 15.8%
30-39 - 13.7%
40-49 - 16.9%
50-64 - 31.1%
65-plus - 22.4%
Read 5 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
30 Dec 20
Yesterday saw 228,855 votes recorded in the runoff elections, with in-person voting actually surpassing same day voting from the November cycle.

2,566,332 total people have voted.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
91,165 of those voters didn't vote in the November election, a percentage that just keeps growing and is now at 3.6%. There are more voters who didn't vote in November so far than there are voters who voted on Election Day (78,804, 3.1% of the total).
Black voters continue to make up over 31% of the total electorate, vs just under 28% in the November early vote.

Yesterday's turnout was 28.1% Black vs 23.7% on the same day for November voting. Here's your @Nate_Cohn-esque chart.
Read 7 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
29 Dec 20
Big day of voting yesterday brings us up to 2,337,477 total votes in the January runoffs. Lots of other folks have written some good stuff this morning so today's thread is a series of links.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
Here's @Nate_Cohn to start us off with daily breakdowns by race. Takeaway: only one single day of early voting saw Black voters with a lower share of the electorate than the same day in November.

Statewide totals and precinct-level maps of turnout rates from @stphnfwlr

Read 5 tweets
Ryan Anderson Profile picture
28 Dec 20
Hope everyone had a good holidays, especially the 36,525 folks who voted in-person over the last 4 days.

We're up to 2,126,254 total votes cast in the runoff with both voting methods about 25% behind the general election's pace.

#gapol #gapolitics

georgiavotes.com
The top-6 congressional districts for turnout, compared to their early vote totals in the 2020 general, are all of the Democratic-held seats now.

GA-14, where Trump will be coming next Monday, is dead last by a lot.
Another data point for you:

60.3% of D primary voters have already voted (745,576) vs 47.4% of R primary voters (504,950).

That leaves another 875,728 early voters so far who did not vote in the D or R primary in June.
Read 5 tweets

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