1/9 - ““The estimates on the transmission advantage are tightening,” said Professor Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College London. “A 60 to 70 per cent increase is now [scientists’] central estimate.”
ft.com/content/24743a…
2/9 - “Scientists said there was no evidence that B.1.1.7 is transmitted in a significantly different way from previous #SARSCoV2 strains or that it spreads more easily among children. The variant is just more contagious in every setting where people meet.”
3/9 - “Scientists’ conclusions about the increased transmissibility of the B.1.1.7 variant have been drawn primarily from epidemiological modelling of the way the strain has rapidly supplanted existing forms of coronavirus since its first known appearance in Kent in late Sept.”
4/9 - “At the same time virologists have shown that some of its 17 mutations enable the variant to enter human cells more easily.”
5/9 -“Although B.1.1.7 infections seemed to increase even faster among children than adults during the final months of the year, this was more likely a consequence of social rather than biological factors: schools were open but most adult routes of transmission were locked down.”
6/9 - ““While this variant may not be singling out children in any way, the effect of a general increase in transmissibility across all ages may still affect children uniquely but for societal reasons (schools) rather than biological ones,” said Prof Ferguson.”
7/9 - “One important factor that makes B.1.1.7 more transmissible is that people who are infected with the variant produce much more of the virus in their upper respiratory tract. “The amount of virus secreted per millilitre is increased three- to 10-fold.”
8/9 - ““The UK is now battling a strain that is far more easily transmitted,” the Trades Union Congress said. “Yet the rules have not been fully updated and . . . this is putting workers at risk.”
9/9 - “These viruses predominantly infect as a consequence of person-to-person contact so restricting contact, wearing face masks and avoiding overcrowded, poorly ventilated inside spaces will prevent transmission.”

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More from @FLAHAULT

7 Jan
1/7 - “The UK, Ireland, Germany, Denmark and some northern Italian regions have all ordered schools to shut for several weeks to try to contain #COVID19 infections, in some cases on the back of extended Christmas holidays.”
ft.com/content/8121ca…
2/7 - “We know how important it is for parents to have to look after
children and how important learning is for children . . . and how important educational qualifications are in our country,” said Markus Söder, prime minister of Bavaria, “It was a “difficult decision”
3/7 - “European countries largely kept schools open last autumn even as they imposed a second lockdown, shutting bars, restaurants, leisure venues and non-essential shops. It was a stark contrast with the first lockdown in the spring when many switched to remote learning.”
Read 7 tweets
6 Jan
1/9 - “Beijing has barred the entry of a 10-member World Health Organization team investigating the origins of the #COVID19 pandemic after their visas were not approved.”
ft.com/content/7e9ce6…
2/9 - “The slow progress of the WHO probe and its lack of access into the origins of the pandemic have drawn criticism from the US and calls for greater transparency from some western governments.”
3/9 - “China maintains that it welcomes the investigation, which will be primary focused on identifying when, where and how the #SARSCoV2 virus that causes #COVID19 made the jump from animals to humans.”
Read 9 tweets
6 Jan
1/9 - Switzerland -Jan 06 to 12-
The country is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity, at high levels, with very high levels of mortality.
7 cantons detailed.
Data: zh.ch/de/politik-sta…
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience Image
2/9 - Valais is experiencing a surge again in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=1.22), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
3/9 - Geneva will be slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.95), at high levels, with low levels of mortality, for 7 more days. ImageImage
Read 10 tweets
6 Jan
1/21. Jan 06 to Jan 12 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

14.56 m already vaccinated as of Jan 05. Image
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.87), at medium levels of activity, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Vaccine campaign has started. No data reported. ImageImage
3/21. Germany is plateauing in its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.97), at high levels, with very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Soft lockdown.
316,962 vaccinated as of Jan 04. ImageImage
Read 24 tweets
5 Jan
1/21. Jan 05 to Jan 11 -
Our #COVID19 daily epidemic 7-day-forecasting for 209 countries and territories.
Dashboard: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data source: coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience

13 m already vaccinated as of Jan 04.
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.86), at medium levels of activity, with decreasing very high to high (from Thursday) levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Vaccine campaign has started. No data reported.
3/21. Germany is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.94), remaining at high levels, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Soft lockdown.
265,610 vaccinated as of Jan 03.
Read 24 tweets
4 Jan
1/9 - “Boris Johnson ordered a third economically disastrous national lockdown for England as the prime minister warned that the NHS risked being overwhelmed by a surge in cases of the new #COVID19 strain.”
ft.com/content/016f2d…
2/9 - “In a sharp switch in position, Mr Johnson ordered the immediate closure of all primary and secondary schools until mid-February as he imposed a version of the lockdown that shut down England last March.”
3/9 - “The government is once again instructing you to stay at home,” [Boris Johnson] said in a televised address. “Our hospitals are under more pressure from Covid than at any time in the pandemic.”
Read 9 tweets

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