1/9 - “Boris Johnson ordered a third economically disastrous national lockdown for England as the prime minister warned that the NHS risked being overwhelmed by a surge in cases of the new #COVID19 strain.” ft.com/content/016f2d…
2/9 - “In a sharp switch in position, Mr Johnson ordered the immediate closure of all primary and secondary schools until mid-February as he imposed a version of the lockdown that shut down England last March.”
3/9 - “The government is once again instructing you to stay at home,” [Boris Johnson] said in a televised address. “Our hospitals are under more pressure from Covid than at any time in the pandemic.”
4/9 - “For the next 6 weeks, people will be told not to leave their homes except for specified purposes such as essential work — incl. construction — or to buy food or medicines. Univ. students will be told not to return to their colleges until the middle of next month.”
5/9 - “Rishi Sunak, chancellor has a range of economic support measures in place until the spring, including the furlough scheme, but his March 3 Budget will now take place in the shadow of a continuing health emergency.”
6/9 - “In a joint statement, the UK’s four chief medical officers said: “We are not confident that the NHS can handle a further sustained rise in cases and without further action there is a material risk of the NHS in several areas being overwhelmed over the next 21 days.”
7/9 - “Mr Johnson said that “now more than ever, we must pull together”, adding “I know how tough this is, I know how frustrated you are, I know that you have had more than enough of government guidance about defeating this virus.”
8/9 - “[Mr Johnson] apologised to parents for closing schools, saying he had “tried everything” to keep them open. In a sign of the chaos over the government’s approach, Mr Johnson had on Sunday urged parents to send their children back to school the following day.”
9/9 - “Meanwhile Nicola Sturgeon, Scotland’s first minister, announced a lockdown and a legal stay-at-home order across the nation from midnight to control the new strain of the virus.”
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1/9 - ““The estimates on the transmission advantage are tightening,” said Professor Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College London. “A 60 to 70 per cent increase is now [scientists’] central estimate.” ft.com/content/24743a…
2/9 - “Scientists said there was no evidence that B.1.1.7 is transmitted in a significantly different way from previous #SARSCoV2 strains or that it spreads more easily among children. The variant is just more contagious in every setting where people meet.”
3/9 - “Scientists’ conclusions about the increased transmissibility of the B.1.1.7 variant have been drawn primarily from epidemiological modelling of the way the strain has rapidly supplanted existing forms of coronavirus since its first known appearance in Kent in late Sept.”
2/21 - Belgium is landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.86), at medium levels of activity, with decreasing very high to high (from Thursday) levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Vaccine campaign has started. No data reported.
3/21. Germany is slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.94), remaining at high levels, with increasing very high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Soft lockdown.
265,610 vaccinated as of Jan 03.
1/9 - “When the first #COVID19 lockdowns were imposed outside China, billions of people around the world were forced to look online for communication, collaboration, entertainment and sustenance.” ft.com/content/d4dbdb…
2/9 - “Around the world and across many categories, a unifying theme was that leading sites and services benefited most — the big just kept getting bigger. The exception is Zoom, the underdog video app that became a verb; even Microsoft’s Teams could not slow Zoom down.”
3/9 - “The surge in broadband traffic in March and April was so extreme that some video services, such as YouTube, were forced to downgrade streaming resolution to preserve bandwidth — an unprecedented move.”
1/4 - Il faut d’urgence éviter un fiasco en France avec la campagne de vaccination contre la #COVID19. Les jeunes, les restaurateurs, tous ceux qui souffrent aujourd’hui des conséquences de la crise sanitaire ne pourront pas accepter que les personnes âgées ne se vaccinent pas.
2/4 - Il faut simplifier les procédures de vaccination dans les EPHAD.
- Supprimer le consentement écrit (ce n’est pas un essai clinique mais un vaccin approuvé par l’EMA).
- Rendre obligatoire la vaccination en EPHAD (comme elle l’est en crèche pour d’autres vaccins)
3/4 - Il faut d’urgence vacciner les personnes âgées non institutionnalisées par des centres dédiés - comme en Allemagne - tant qu’on a des vaccins ARNm. Confier la vaccination aux médecins de ville dès que vaccins inactivés/protéines purifiées/virus vecteur disponibles.
2/21. IMPORTANT NOTE: Since @ECDC_EU
has given up in its daily data reporting since Dec 15, we cannot any longer provide previsions from their database. We rely on JHU.
Due to irregular reporting during Christmas break, we cannot deliver any reliable previsions for Switzerland.
3/21. Italy will be slowly landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.84), at medium level of activity, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days.
Vaccine campaign has started.
1/10 - USA. Dec 29 to Jan 04- The USA are plateauing in their #COVID19 epidemic activity at high levels, with decreasing very high levels of mortality.
9 states detailed here and analysis in: renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
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2/10 - Massachusetts seems to take over control of its #COVID19 epidemic activity (R-eff=0.95), plateauing at high levels, still at very high and increasing levels of mortality, for 7 more days
3/10 - Vermont will be landing towards its #COVID19 safety zone (R-eff=0.82), at medium levels of activity, with high levels of mortality, for 7 more days