Since the March lockdown, there have been a number of changes to the list of who can go to school.
For instance, children with a 'lack of devices' 'should attend school'
The rollout of laptops was promised in the first lockdown. What happened to that?
In addition, hundreds of thousands of university/HE lecturers and support staff are now classified as 'critical workers'. Some of course are critical. Some less so.
So, we have extra pressure on school places. This will allow the virus to spread.
Government policy should be systematic.
Individual Government departments will want to maximize their own interests.
The PM and Cabinet are responsible for these trade offs and overall policy.
Is the guidance issued yesterday (not restricting places for newly-classified 'critical workers') a case of the left hand (DHSC) not knowing what the right hand (DfE) is doing?
Or is this a case of the left hand *knowing* what the right hand is doing?
The Government is making the same mistakes as it did in the first wave. Except with knowledge.
A thread.
The Government's strategy at the beginning of the pandemic was to 'cocoon' the vulnerable (e.g. those in care homes). This was a 'herd immunity' strategy. This interview is from March.
The PM has set an ambitious vaccination target - around 12,000,000 first doses in around 6 weeks. But what happens if instead of 2 million doses per week we have 300,000 per week (current rate)?
This happens.
We need to get vaccinations into people. Not 'hopes'
This is the wording from the PM's statement yesterday and is the source of the rough calculation above.
It's odd that this is phrased as 'the NHS hopes'.
What does the *PM* 'hope'? As it is DHSC/ CO/ BEIS/ Vaccine Task Force who are responsible for *procuring* these vaccines.
6,300 cases (7 day average)
354 patients admitted to hospital (7 day average)
1,634 patients in hospital (7 day average)
204 patients in mechanical ventilation beds (7 day ave)
34 deaths/day (7 day ave, within 28 days of +ve test)
20 October
21,866 cases
1,251 patients admitted to hospital
8,499 patients in hospital
733 ventilated patients
217 deaths/day