277 new #covid19sverige deaths reported by Folkhälsomyndigheten today, taking the total to 9262. The data includes a death added to January 4 2020, I am assuming this is an error and should be January 4 2021.

Outside of that, oldest change +1 to Dec 1, largest +31 (Dec 17.
Dec 17, Sweden has hit a wave 2 high of 110 deaths, the 4th highest mortality in a day since the pandemic began, and sadly confirming my prediction to Expressen in November that we would exceed 100 deaths in a day before Christmas. 😥 😥
I literally have tears running down my face right now. I did not want to be right about this. Each of these numbers is real person, with a whole circle of family and friends who loved them 😥 I sometimes feel that those in charge do not think about this.
Large jump in the rolling 7 day average, now hitting 86 on Dec 17.
I'm done for today's report.
The January 4, 2020 case has now been moved to the "uppgift saknas" category by FHM, which is at a record high 33.

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More from @DavidSteadson

8 Jan
171 new #covid19sverige deaths reported today, taking the total to 9433. Oldest change -1 to Nov 30 (+1 to next day). Largest change +20 to Dec 27. Dec 17 increases to 114 deaths, 1 below the 155 peak of Wave 1 (April 8 and 15). A new graph today! Image
31 deaths currently have date unrecorded, they are added on the last day of the graph of cumulative deaths. The gap between lines gives an indication of lag of updates, and it is clearly the worst of the pandemic at present. Image
In the graph above, each line represents the data for the entire pandemic has reported on a given day, with the most recent data the longest line (orange).

With the latest updates, the steepness of the curve is now similar to that of wave 1.
Read 11 tweets
7 Jan
So a week ago I posted the below tweet about the start difference in infections between Northern Ireland and Ireland

It was clear supporting evidence that policy actually makes a difference in dealing with the Covid-19 pandemic.
Unfortunately Ireland is providing further evidence of this, but in the wrong way. In late October, Ireland announced they would undergo tough restrictions to get the virus under control, starting midnight, Oct 31st.

eu.usatoday.com/story/travel/n…
Here's how the situation looked then. Grim. Image
Read 15 tweets
6 Jan
Now, the the instructions I've received on my responsibilities as someone who has tested positive. It was issued by the Swedish Medical Association and I was given it in Swedish. The link said it was available in other languages, but no information at all on how to obtain it.
My Swedish is OK, but it's pretty heavy going. As a PDF there's no simple translate button as many have for websites either.

Not that you want automatic translators dispensing critical medical advice! So we're left with my bad translation. 😶

slf.se/smittskyddslak…
It says Covid-19 is a virus infection that's usually mild, but a few people get it seriously, lists the well known symptoms.

Explains it spreads through droplets, that when you cough or sneeze they get in the air and then can land on people close by or on surfaces or objects.
Read 10 tweets
6 Jan
Long thread incoming!

So as I reported earlier, I tested positive for Covid on Tuesday. I thought I'd explain the process that has occurred with testing and contact tracing. This is applicable to my region only (Uppsala), but is similar for all over Sweden.
I hope this gives some insight in to how Sweden is handling the Covid crisis. (hint: badly)
On Saturday, my wife started experiencing symptoms. Coughing and feeling of burning up along with fatigue. No temperature.

Sunday evening, despite having had #longcovid symptoms for nearly 10 months including a cough and SPO2 problems I began to experience additional symptoms.
Read 31 tweets
5 Jan
A few days ago I outlined my concerns about Anders Tegnell's lack of training and experience in statistics and it's affect on his ability to operate effectively as Sweden's Chief Epidemiologist.

We already know he didn't understand R - the reproduction number - with emails from early on in the pandemic revealing him asking colleagues how it works.

And later in an interview claiming simultaneously that the spread of infection was increasing, but R was below 1.

This of course makes no sense.

omni.se/tegnell-om-utv…
Read 15 tweets
5 Jan
258 new #covid19sverige deaths reported today, taking the total to 8985. As noted earlier, this data is not even close to up to date due to holidays. Oldest change +1 to Nov 7. Additions to every day from Dec 9. Current peaks 83 on Dec 10 and Dec 14. 35 deaths with no date.
For new followers, each line on the graphs is the data as reported on a particular day. New reports update the data on many previous days, hence the curve keeps changing. Not understanding this leads to believing a plateau has been reached when in fact it is just an artefact.
This is even more apparent when we look at the rolling 7-day average of deaths per day. It always looks as if things are improving. As data updates, you can find it was an illusion. Current peak at 76 on Dec 16 and 17, up from 71.
Read 13 tweets

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