Concerning—WHO head @DrTedros now sounding the alarm on concern that more the virus spreads, increases chance of mutations.

He adds: "Transmissibility of some variants of the virus appears to be increasing." #COVID19

2) Here is one of the worrisome strains @DrTedros is referring to:
3) Like Dr Tedros, Danish CDC is also sounding the alarm on the likelihood the #b117 strain might dominate and take over by Feb/March.
4) the #B117 variant is such a beast—suppose we have 1000 cases/day now... with an R=0.86 we could reduce it to 500/day in 2 weeks.

➡️But w/ added contagiousness of B117 variant w/ ~60% higher R, in 2 weeks, we’d have 3000 new cases/day instead—3x baseline

➡️6x vs old strain.
5) Basically, Denmark 🇩🇰’s CDC (@SSI_dk) is so pessimistic that it believes the B117 will inevitably dominate the country and likely the world by Feb/March. And with its higher R of contagiousness, we either stop it now or we maybe in deep trouble by spring time.
6) Pandemic expert group @IndependentSage also declares the UK pandemic situation “now out of control”.
7) here is also concerns about the B117 strain in youngest kids 0-9. And I have checked, it’s statistically different from those age 10 or older.
8) Ireland has also seen a 10x case increase in last few weeks. Just announced today that Ireland’s #B117 is now 45% of new cases, up from 25% last week, up from 9% 2 weeks earlier.
9) here is the worrisome Ireland announcement from its PM this morning

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More from @DrEricDing

13 Jan
ATROCIOUS big pharma price gouging of insulin:

This crying mother can’t afford the $1000 for her son’s insulin.

📌yet, it only costs pharma $5 to produce.

📌Insulin was invented 100 years ago by Fred Banting—who donated patent for $1 to make it free for all.

Let that sink in.
2) Insulin is one of the most disgusting cases of price gouging ever.

America has long taken a free market approach to pharmaceuticals.
Drug companies haggle separately over drug prices with a variety of private insurers across the country...

google.com/amp/s/www.vox.…
3) “Meanwhile, Medicare, the government health program for those over age 65 — it’s also the nation’s largest buyer of drugs—is barred from negotiating drug prices. That gives pharma more leverage, and it leads to the kind of price surges of EpiPens, opioid antidotes, & insulin.”
Read 9 tweets
13 Jan
JUST IN — "Camp Auschwitz" insurrectionist of the Capitol siege was just arrested this morning in Newport News, VIrginia.
2) this guy was just arrested. Image
3) We cannot have a repeat of the fascism from WW2. This is @Schwarzenegger’s speech was so powerful.
Read 11 tweets
13 Jan
📍On Feb 14 2020 on CNN interview in Lafayette Park— I said US cases 10x higher.

➡️I got hate messages for being a “fear monger” alarmist. Some even spread misinfo I wasn’t an epidemiologist (Harvard, Dept of Epidemiology, Doctor of Science 2007, 🤷🏻‍♂️)

...What a crazy sad year 😢
2) Lots of hate last Jan 2020... so much denialism... nymag.com/intelligencer/…
3) Another perspective in Salon. salon.com/2020/03/27/a-t…
Read 5 tweets
13 Jan
We broke 4000 deaths again today. 2nd time ever. We are headed to 5000 deaths/day before end of Feb.

➡️We need to vaccinate at **least 1 mil/day**. But if the B117 variant takes hold & becomes dominant in US, we will need to have *2 mil/day vaccinated*. Honest reality. #COVID19 Image
2) This is why I’m so worried. The B117 went from 9% to now 45% of sequenced #SARSCoV2 in Ireland 🇮🇪 within 3 weeks. England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 is also completely overwhelmed. We know it is here in US and spreading.
3) the more infectious B117 variant will literally take over if given the chance. Denmark 🇩🇰 CDC is extremely pessimistic that they tested 11k samples in just 1 month for B117, and now think it’s takeover be unstoppable by Feb/March.

Ps. USA has sequenced just ~750 in 1 month.
Read 8 tweets
12 Jan
WORRISOME... this is not a good #COVID19 signal in Boston area wastewater.

This is also much much worse than spring 2020 surge.

(HT to @BiobotAnalytics and its immigrant founder @NewshaGhaeli) Image
2) Wastewater is very predictive. It was also used to identify the #SARSCoV2 was in Italy by December 2019. People didn’t know if true but later proven true by November case of COVID.
3) Indeed, the Italy wastewater signals for #COVID19 were proven true.
Read 5 tweets
12 Jan
Sobering—CNN reporter @sarasidnerCNN crying on air after seeing devastation at California 10 hospitals full of #COVID19 patients and witnessing countless parking lot funerals. This reporter has been to war zones & covered bombings. But COVID is next level.
2) “we are literally killing each other”. cnn.com/2021/01/12/med…
3) LA situation is so dire, healthcare emergency rationing and care prioritization has been instituted for ambulance 🚑 service.
Read 6 tweets

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