We have just published our second briefing on the Scottish Government’s draft update to the Climate Change Plan 2018-2032. This briefing examines the impact on different sectors 1/11 digitalpublications.parliament.scot/ResearchBriefi…
The draft plan anticipates a 56% reduction in total Scottish emissions over its lifetime. 2/11
The anticipated sectoral change in emissions for each sector is shown below 3/11
Emissions in the Electricity Sector are expected to reduce by 376% with the help of technologies that permanently remove carbon from the atmosphere 4/11
The Buildings Sector, emissions are forecast to drop by 68%. This is due to standards and regulations requiring buildings to be more energy efficient, and progress towards a substantial decarbonisation of heat, backed by significant investment and supply chain support 5/11
For the Transport Sector a reduction in emissions of 41% is expected. The fall is driven by a number of factors, principally a 20% reduction in distance travelled by car and a big uptake in ultra-low emission vehicles – incl buses, railway rolling stock and goods vehicles 6/11
In Industry, emissions are anticipated to be 43% lower (52% lower with Negative Emissions Technologies). This shift in ambition is driven by an expectation that an almost total decarbonisation of industry is possible over the next twenty years 7/11
In the Waste Sector, emissions are expected to reduce by 56%. Policies on food waste and circular economy have been upgraded to form two new Policy Outcomes 8/11
Land Use, Land Use Change and Forestry emissions are expected to rise by 283% due primarily to the inclusion of emissions from peatlands, which have not been accounted for up until this point 9/11
In the Agriculture Sector, a 24% reduction in emissions is anticipated – a large increase in ambition since the 2018 CCP, which anticipated only a 9% reduction 10/11
Negative Emissions Technologies are planned to start permanently remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by 2029, and significantly ramp up emissions removal in the electricity and industrial sectors from 2030 onwards; equivalent to 23.8% of gross emissions 11/11

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More from @SPICe_Research

12 Jan
We have just published a briefing on the Scottish Government's draft Update to the Climate Change Plan 2018 - 2032 digitalpublications.parliament.scot/ResearchBriefi… 1/4
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11 Apr 19
Morning! I'm Iain McIver, SPICe's EU researcher. Some reflections on #euco decision to extend the #article50 #Brexit process last night. See #council conclusions for more details data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/X… 1/10
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