More from @luckytran

Dr. Lucky Tran

@luckytran

9 Mar 20

#Coronavirus lessons from the past: In the 1918 Spanish flu outbreak, St. Louis cancelled its public events while Philadelphia proceeded with a 200,000 person parade.

This was the result:

Within 72 hours every bed in the city’s 31 hospitals was filled. This & other public health fumbles by city authorities lead to a much higher death rate than those cities which implemented multiple interventions were implemented at an early phase

Source: pnas.org/content/104/18…

Right now many of the largest cities in the US (Philadelphia, Chicago, Boston, and New York City) are preparing to hold parades for #StPatricksDay.

City leadership should listen to public health experts and cancel these events.

#coronavirus #COVID19

vice.com/en_us/article/…

Read 5 tweets

Dr. Lucky Tran

@luckytran

6 Jan 20

Reminder: The climate crisis is the biggest public health threat in the world.

Right now the air quality in Australia's capital city, Canberra, is the worst in the world. Readings have reached over 38 times hazardous levels.

#AustraliaFires #AustraliaBushfires #AustraliaBurns

@TheLancet

@TheLancet @sunrisemvmt @350 @StrikeClimate @Fridays4future @GretaThunberg @UNFCCC This is how bad the air looks from a drive into Canberra.

#AustraliaFires #AustraliaBushfires #AustraliaBurns

@TheLancet

@TheLancet @sunrisemvmt @350 @StrikeClimate @Fridays4future @GretaThunberg @UNFCCC The smoke in Canberra is so bad, it just shut down the government agency responsible for emergency management due to poor air quality.

#AustraliaFires #AustraliaBushfires #AustraliaBurns

sbs.com.au/news/canberra-…

Read 8 tweets

Dr. Lucky Tran

@luckytran

30 Dec 19

Been seeing this headline of "500 million animals killed by the #AustraliaFires" go viral.

Important caveats:
1. This is a rough estimate, not a detailed study
2. It estimates # of animals *affected* by the fires, not necessarily those killed

standard.co.uk/news/world/aus…

I spoke to Australian mammalian ecologist Dr. Chris Dickman who quoted this number & kindly explained his calculation to me.

As with other stories around #AustralianFires, many are missing the nuances of the science, & are exaggerating their headlines.
dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7…

The calculation was based on earlier work estimating the effects of land clearing in New South Wales. Scientists estimated that the government approved clearing of 640,000 hectares would result in the deaths of 104 million native vertebrates. researchgate.net/publication/31…

Read 7 tweets