Share this page!

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
Twitter logo
15 Jan, 4 tweets, 4 min read
India continues to see significant progress toward containment:

-Daily cases down from 100k to 17k
-Daily deaths down from 1,100 to 200
-Test positivity down from 12% to 2%
Nearly every region is seeing improvement, many of which have very large populations.

Uttar Pradesh has a population of ~200 million, yet they are currently reporting only ~600 cases per day.

Policy details: ndtv.com/india-news/ind…

See more:
endcoronavirus.org/india-states-ut
Japan begins to see improvements in daily cases. Yesterday the Prime Minister announced that it will expand its State of Emergency declaration to now include 11 prefectures, and will ban all foreign nationals from entering the country.

cnn.com/2021/01/13/asi…
The UK begins to see cases turn downward. Over the last three days, they reported roughly 46k new cases per day, down from about 60k a week ago.

Tomorrow the UK will impose a new travel ban for several countries due to concerns over new variants.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Yaneer Bar-Yam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @yaneerbaryam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Jan
In Europe, schools are closing as studies show schoolchildren can play a significant role in spreading infections

1/

wsj.com/articles/europ…
As U.S. authorities debate whether to keep schools open, a consensus is emerging in Europe that children are a considerable factor in the spread of Covid-19—and more countries are shutting schools for the first time since the spring.

2/
Closures have been announced recently in the U.K., Germany, Ireland, Austria, Denmark and the Netherlands on concerns about a more infectious variant of the virus first detected in the U.K. and rising case counts despite lockdowns.

3/
Read 17 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Jan
Vaccination program not working well?

Solution:

Vaccination seems complex but it is large scale: Many of the same action

Complexity science says medical institutions are not efficient at vaccination. They are organized for the complex task of treating individual patients.

1/
Solution? Retail — pharmacies. They have the right Infrastructure, people, distribution, process, locations,

Million per day? No problem. CVS alone can do it:

2/
See my published analyses:

Yaneer Bar-Yam, Improving the effectiveness of health care and public health: A multi-scale complex systems analysis, American Journal of Public Health 96(3): 459-466 (2006).

3/
 ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/AJ…
also at
necsi.edu/improving-the-… Image
Read 7 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Jan
Over 700 participants + livestream to social media for UK ZeroCOVID meeting now

zerocovid.uk/2020/12/19/con… Image
Michael Baker from NZ talks about Strategic choices in pandemic response

"The big benefit of an elmination strategy is returnnig to normal in 2-3 months" Image
'An elmination strategy is very simple...' Image
Read 8 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
16 Jan
Yesterday the world recorded 812,212 new cases and 14,780 new deaths. Both are rapidly increasing

Global deaths surpassed 2 million. ImageImageImage
Greece has significant improvement in both cases and deaths:

-Daily cases are down from 2,600 to 600 (23% of peak)
-Daily deaths are down from 100 to 50 (50% of peak)

Current lockdown began in early November. ImageImage
Today Greece extended night curfew, domestic travel restrictions, and stay-at-home order BUT stores & malls open starting Monday. Such soft lockdown is a disaster, see California

Use Green Zone Exit: Identify no transmission areas, protect and open

apnews.com/article/busine…
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
14 Jan
Since February 2020, all-cause mortality shows that the US has seen nearly 470,000 more deaths than expected.

Yesterday, the US reported 4,336 COVID-19 deaths, a new maximum.

cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…
New York City reports the first 2 cases of the UK variant, 1 with recent travel from the UK.

The mayor calls for all flights from the United Kingdom to be canceled immediately by the federal government.

amny.com/news/two-nyc-r…
Bolivia sees cases surge, now at the level of their peak in July. Test positivity is very high, 42% and increasing.

Yesterday they reported 39 deaths.
Read 4 tweets
Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture
13 Jan
Netherlands cases continue to decrease across the country, and announced today they will extend current lockdown by 3 weeks.

The Dutch Prime Minister says there is “no other choice” and cites concern over new variants.

apnews.com/article/public… ImageImageImage
Importantly, the Netherlands has reported 100 cases of the more transmissible UK variant B117, half linked to school outbreaks.

A new cluster of COVID infections linked to an elementary school included at least 30 cases of the new variant.

In Canada, daily cases and deaths continue to increase, primarily in Ontario and Quebec. Ontario declares a state of emergency and issues a stay at home order.

In Ontario, test positivity is surging for all age groups, and is very high in children:
ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @yaneerbaryam has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @yaneerbaryam!

Read all threads by @yaneerbaryam