Vaccination seems complex but it is large scale: Many of the same action
Complexity science says medical institutions are not efficient at vaccination. They are organized for the complex task of treating individual patients.
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Solution? Retail — pharmacies. They have the right Infrastructure, people, distribution, process, locations,
Yaneer Bar-Yam, Improving the effectiveness of health care and public health: A multi-scale complex systems analysis, American Journal of Public Health 96(3): 459-466 (2006).
Yaneer Bar-Yam, Dion Harmon, Keith Nesbitt, May Lim, Suzanne Smith, and Bradley A. Perkins, Opportunities in delivery of preventive services in retail settings, in Handbook of Systems and Complexity in Health (Springer, 2013), pp. 879-887. tinyurl.com/y573q3vp
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Just announced Biden plan:
"..launching community vaccination centers around the country and mobile units in hard-to-reach areas."
Community vaccination centers? Pharmacies have many of the best community locations. And people know them.
The best chance we have right now is to give immediate vaccines to anyone who has symptoms. Disease progression can take a few weeks and it might be less severe with a vaccine (that’s the point!)
I would prioritize that
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To be clear: This suggestion should be part of a careful trial process, one that can be done quickly.
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There is nothing we can’t do together. Today I am presenting to you a science-based plan to eliminate the coronavirus from the United States. We can meet this challenge as we have met challenges before.
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We are not only facing the original coronavirus, we are facing new faster transmitting and potentially vaccination evading mutants. Some of them are already here, some may be here soon, or start here. We have to stop accepting defeat and get ahead of the virus and stop it.
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Ireland reports significant reduction in daily cases. Yesterday 3,491, down from peak near 8,000.
Test positivity is high but declined from 25% to 20% in past week.
(See also earlier tweet on UK planned travel restrictions)
Yesterday US State Dept warned U.S. citizens in countries “where adequate COVID-19 testing is not available or may not be able to satisfy the requirements, should depart immediately or prepare to be unable to return to the US…”
As U.S. authorities debate whether to keep schools open, a consensus is emerging in Europe that children are a considerable factor in the spread of Covid-19—and more countries are shutting schools for the first time since the spring.
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Closures have been announced recently in the U.K., Germany, Ireland, Austria, Denmark and the Netherlands on concerns about a more infectious variant of the virus first detected in the U.K. and rising case counts despite lockdowns.
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Yesterday the world recorded 812,212 new cases and 14,780 new deaths. Both are rapidly increasing
Global deaths surpassed 2 million.
Greece has significant improvement in both cases and deaths:
-Daily cases are down from 2,600 to 600 (23% of peak)
-Daily deaths are down from 100 to 50 (50% of peak)
Current lockdown began in early November.
Today Greece extended night curfew, domestic travel restrictions, and stay-at-home order BUT stores & malls open starting Monday. Such soft lockdown is a disaster, see California
Use Green Zone Exit: Identify no transmission areas, protect and open
Japan begins to see improvements in daily cases. Yesterday the Prime Minister announced that it will expand its State of Emergency declaration to now include 11 prefectures, and will ban all foreign nationals from entering the country.