Despite breathless climate reporting on ever-more fire
Total area burned across the world has *declined* over past 117 years
Reduced about 25% over last two decades alone
Shouldn't this be reported?
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…, globalfiredata.org/analysis.html, gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/static/gwis.st…
Total area burned across the world has *declined* over past 117 years
Reduced about 25% over last two decades alone
Shouldn't this be reported?
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…, globalfiredata.org/analysis.html, gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/static/gwis.st…
This trend is entirely uncontroversial, well known across all research, here from Science magazine, science.sciencemag.org/content/356/63…
This is mostly because of more people (humans don't want fire near their houses) and more agriculture (farmers don't want their crops on fire)
This is mostly because of more people (humans don't want fire near their houses) and more agriculture (farmers don't want their crops on fire)
Here is the historical reconstruction with explanations — notice that climate (direct temperature and moisture changes) has lead to *less* fire, but CO₂ fertilization has increased amount of green stuff that can burn
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Over the coming days I'll look at fires into the future (global warming will increase fires, but CO₂ cuts are the least effective way to help), and look at individual areas like the US, Brazil and Australia
Climate scares based on breathless climate reporting can lead to bad decisions
Climate change a real problem, but we must be careful not — in panic — spending so many resources, the cure is costlier than the affliction
Read my peer-reviewed article:
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Climate change a real problem, but we must be careful not — in panic — spending so many resources, the cure is costlier than the affliction
Read my peer-reviewed article:
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
Scared witless has real impacts
Half the world now believe climate change will make humanity go extinct
Reality? UN expects average person in 2100 to be 450% richer. Climate will make that 434%. Problem, not end-of-world
My new book (free first 25p): ow.ly/HUkU50A9v1o
Half the world now believe climate change will make humanity go extinct
Reality? UN expects average person in 2100 to be 450% richer. Climate will make that 434%. Problem, not end-of-world
My new book (free first 25p): ow.ly/HUkU50A9v1o
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