Dismayed about Navalny. However, his arrest was predictable (I don't think anyone who followed this story was actually surprised). The issue is not Putin's "fear" of Navalny - it's Putin's credibility. He had signalled that he did not want Navalny back, promising arrest.
If Navalny were allowed to go free in Moscow, the inevitable conclusion would be that Putin was weak, that he was "afraid" to arrest him. Now, much depends on the international reaction. Sanctions have already been ramped up but could of course be massively extended.
My expectation (alas) is that the EU won't do it: it would require much greater cohesion than what the EU can actually afford. However, if they did, and if Navalny became a trading chip in this game, you'd expect the regime to strip him of his citizenship, and then deport him.
That would be unconstitutional of course but who in the Kremlin ever worried about the Constitution?
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