Thread by @andrewflood

First drop in #COVID19ireland hospital occupancy since 12th December - new admissions still high at 115 (6% of occupancy) but discharges at highest ever at 153. Good news but discharges are much higher on Mondays (only 39 Sun, 45 Sat) because of weekend so not a pattern yet /1

115 admissions was slightly up on last 2 days & 7th highest of entire pandemic, all of those highs being in last two weeks. 24hr admissions is 73% of peak this day last week, roughly in line with rate of week on week swab reduction which is more definite at this point /2

Available hospital beds increased slightly by 2 at yesterdays 8am report so even if the actual reduction is an early one off it is looking unlikely conventional beds are going to over run capacity, this however was always secondary to the threat to ICU capacity /3

ICU capacity yesterday was already 24 beds into created surge capacity with no beds ICU in many hospitals and transport of very sick patients between hospitals required as a result. Next ICU update will be on the hub after 11 today /4
hse.ie/eng/services/n…

Five #covid19 deaths reported in the previous 24 hours in ICU match my supposition from yesterdays report, this was also the case for the previous day. Deaths are why ICU hasn't already breached surge capacity /5

https://twitter.com/andrewflood/status/1351141634105344000?s=20

Hmmmm - 2020 yesterday, 1954 today is a drop of 66
But 115 admissions & 153 discharges would be a drop of 38 so what happened to the other 28. Feels too high to be deaths so a data error?

#Covid19Ireland ICU occupancy increased by 3 from yesterdays 199, only 1.5%. However the 16-10 admissions/discharges suggests there were 3 additional deaths in ICU in last 24 hours. 16 admissions was 8% of occupancy, that rate is almost half of last weeks 15% most days /7