Thread on why Brexit has disrupted e-commerce and why it matters more than you might think
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We’re getting lots of reports of people being hit by unexpected VAT charges and delays on their online deliveries when the vendor is in Europe.
Why is this happening?....1/
UK customers buying goods from relatively small EU vendors before Brexit could pay their VAT at the point of transaction under the EU’s distance selling regulations.
And, importantly, these vendors could charge the local rate of VAT and deal with their own tax authorities....2/
Since 1 Jan our online buyers don’t benefit from these EU regulations.
The EU vendor now has to register with HMRC and charge UK VAT in order to ship to UK (a big hassle and many won’t bother) or ship the item to the UK and let the buyer pay the UK VAT owed upon receipt...3/
Obviously bad news for UK buyers.
And it’s not just the unexpected charges – if small EU vendors stop selling to Brits we have less choice and lower value...4/
And this is not economically trivial.
The Brits are some of the biggest internet shoppers in the developed world, with almost 80% of the population estimated to be doing it.
Also estimated that 11% of our online shopping comes from the EU...5/
But it's vital not to ignore the impact of Brexit on UK online vendors - small businesses that sell online.
They also benefited massively from the EU VAT charging rules, being able to sell very easily across the bloc...6/
Now they have to either force their EU customers to pay VAT on receipt (not a way to retain customers) or register with each and every national EU tax authority into which they want to sell....7/
The owner of the UK-based sustainable fashion brand VILDNIS @UllaVitting tells me before Brexit she was shipping daily to the EU but the administrative nightmare means she's had to put all shipping to the EU temporarily on hold...8/
How many more UK firms are in likely to be in this nightmarish situation?
Reports suggest Downing Street is looking at easing restrictions in England from early March, with a return to the regional tier system...1/
But question is: will the vaccination programme have reduced pressure on the NHS sufficiently by March to enable restrictions to be eased by then?
Or could this be another policy fiasco like delaying November lockdown or Xmas Day re-opening?... 2/
The COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group @COVID19actuary has modelled the impact of the government achieving its 14m vaccination target on hospitalisations and deaths.
Assuming 12% of 56 million England population infected at end of December (6.7 million) and registered England Covid deaths of around 66,000 (excess deaths higher at 72,000) at that point - suggests infection fatality rate of around 1%
Thread on how easy it is to get tricked into haemorrhaging money from your bank account after an online purchase – and why financial regulators seem to be behind the curve on this.🧵💸💻
Forgive the personal story, but I think it's relevant...1/
I’m pretty careful with my money online - regularly checking my pension, combing my online bank statement for suspicious transactions, pruning unwanted subscriptions etc...2/
I’d describe this as financial hygiene – and would advise everyone to do it.
Yet it’s not always enough.
While looking through a list of transactions on my online account before Xmas I noticed a £15 payment to something called "WLY*COMPLETESAVE.CO.UK" ...3/
THREAD ON THE IMPACT OF THIS BREXIT DEAL ON SERVICE EXPORTS💸🏦✉️🧳
Boris Johnson in BBC interview on Wednesday said: “There are already immense barriers to UK services – there is no internal market for services in the EU”....1/
Is Covid really being spread significantly in and by schools? 🦠🏫🧑🎓
Thread 🧵
The decision by the government to relay the school return for secondary pupils by a week suggests ministers now believe so.
But what’s the evidence? 1/
The basic facts are not disputed.
The Office for National Statistics’ large-scale and random weekly survey shows that rates in the run-up to Christmas were considerably higher for school age children than adults...2/
Striking that the Tory ERG (left) and the @IPPR think tank (right) agree the UK-EU deal is too weak on "rebalancing" sanctions/procedures to, in practical terms, have any impact on preventing the UK government doing what it wants in future on environment/labour/subsidies etc...