Should inheritance tax be increased meaningfully to battle inequality and wealth/capital hoarding?
"Inheritance tax dates back to the Roman Empire, which collected 5 percent of inherited property in order to pay soldiers’ pensions. Today, the practice is widespread."
“Relatively high level [of inheritance] is a sign of the continent’s low social mobility, keeping education, income and social connections from evolving over generations.”
European old money is at least one of the causes for lack of opportunities and below average growth rates.
“More than 33% of Italy’s richest people inherited fortunes compared with just 2% in China according to a 2014 study.
Germany has the highest share of inheritor-billionaires among developed economies, 65%. Overall heirs & heiresses make up half of Western Europe’s billionaires.”
There was nothing to inherit in Asia only 2-3 decades ago, forcing individuals and companies to be risk takers, creators and problem solvers.
This is resulting in some of the fastest growth rates, and a rapid increase in number of “new money” individuals — opposite of Europe.
We can all understand people who want to hoard assets & capital to leave a legacy, to secure the family future & protect that which was created before them,
however, looking at it from the broad perspective, this isn’t healthy for the society or the economic development.
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1/ Howard Mark's Oaktree on the attractiveness of real estate debt:
"Oaktree's broad range of credit strategies affords us a unique vantage point from which to compare the relative value, and we believe that private real estate credit presents an attractive proposition."
2/ "BB-rated corporate bonds are trading at around 4.5% yield-to-worst, and B-rated bonds are in the 4-6% range. Publicly traded CMBS are faring slightly better, with single-asset single-borrower B-rated bonds trading in the 6-7% yield-to-worst context."
3/ "Compare those with private real estate loans, which are anticipated to be performing throughout their term and are regularly pricing in the 5-8% range for first mortgages and the 9-12% range for more junior positions in the capital structure."
Almost every real estate and private equity GP out there will tell you they looked at 100s of deals before they found this special one, which they are presenting to you.
They will deny it but honestly, 99% of the time, we all know that’s not the case. 🤥
(Continues)
Their motivation and overall purpose isn’t quality, but quantity.
The more deals they do, the more fees they earn (entry, exit, management, refinance, profit share, etc).
There is a difference between an investor who buys their own deals, and an asset gather chasing larger AUM.
The finance industry is fee driven money machine — whether it’s the big towers of NY, London or HK,
or the general partners & fund managers syndicating deals.
Yes, it is possible to find great people out there... but it’s rare.
Doing RE underwriting at high valuations after a 11-year bull run tells you exactly what you need to hear.
RISK is here!
Whether your focus on the unleveraged yield on total cost or development feasibility studies — it's getting ridiculously hard to find anything attractive.
One London deal from earlier today.
Loss-making propositions start popping up everywhere as the market becomes overpriced.
As my mentor used to say: "Tiho, are you going to work for free?"
It wasn't like this 5 years ago, while almost every deal worked 8-9 years ago!
A deal from Prague, also from today (in Czech Krona).
Agents are in la-la land & this owner believes money grows on trees.
Yes, it is an amazing property in a great location — but you buy it, do the hard work & exit at realistic market comps with a €1.5 million loss.
"What makes a country wealthier is not the valuation of the companies going higher, but companies producing a greater quantity or potentially more valuable products, which is generally reflected in rising profits or sales."
2/ "This is why we tend to associate the rising value of stocks with a greater net worth as a stock market generally grows in line with increased profits. The same is true for an entire economy."
3/ "It is the economy’s ability to generate more value that makes it richer, not its abstract measure of money. If the government intervenes to ensure a buoyant stock market or fewer bond defaults, it is not creating wealth: it is simply removing accurate price discovery."