2/ In the city of Toronto’s COVID19 update today, @epdevilla confirmed all first-round vaccines have been delivered at *ALL 87* of the city’s long-term care facilities and high-risk retirement homes.
3/ That’s great news !!
54.6% of Toronto’s fatalities occurred in these at risk groups…
…and excluding the high-risk LTC population…
…Toronto’s case fatality rate is 0.68%
…and just * 0.21% * in the under 69 population !
(see graph next tweet)
4/ This dynamic cannot be made any clearer than I have made it here:
5/ But they are not opening the city !
6/ …in fact, even while (as we speak) we vaccinate the pandemic epicentre of LTCs and retirement homes, @epdevilla contends today that current practices need to remain in place until a sufficient portion of the population is vaccinated…
7/ …this makes no sense !
1. It is well documented that while anyone can be a PCR positive “case”, community mortality risk is manageable and in-line with other annual pathogens!
2. We know the epicenter and we have the vaccines for them! 👇
8/ …that our city (and provincial) politicians, officers and health officials *will not open the city* in light of what I outline above…means we are not even close to a light at the end of the tunnel !
9/ Open, everything, now.
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The % Positivity and daily deaths by Date of Death trends meaningfully diverged for the first time during the first two weeks of November…
In the 1st wave, correlation between (i) deaths by date of death and (ii) fatal cases with an episode date 12 days prior was almost perfect, with R=0.983 and R^2=0.976…
The second chart shows the onset-to-fatality lag correlation signal…
"Global Canada” (@GlobalCanadaOrg) appears to be the funder of the #CanadianShield strategy (@csc_canada_), essentially a #COVIDZero rebrand, supported by Ont Science Table members. It seeks extended, hard-lockdowns Canadawide.
Global Canada is funded by Bill Gates’ Foundation…
Global Canada (“GC”) is run by Executive Chairman, Robert Greenhill (@RobertGreenhill). Mr. Greenhill is a former high-ranking official at the World Economic Forum, serving as Managing Director and Chief Business Officer for 6 years until 2014, when he founded Global Canada…
Global Canada (“GC”) was founded in 2015 and has since received three grants as disclosed on the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation website. The first two were in November 2015/2016 and total a modest ~$1.3m…
Quick summary of the total *garbage* economic “analysis” by @csc_canada_ and the #CanadianShield folks (aka #COVIDZero). This is their “evidence” for more damaging, widespread lockdowns in Canada, which I now believe are inevitable given this new PR push….
I believe we're now in danger of full Canadawide "hard-lockdown" for at least 3 months. This is the appalling #COVIDZero strategy unofficially supported by the Science Table, rebranded as #CanadianShield. Economy/society won't make it 'til Spring. ⬇️is based on garbage analysis!
This is the thin, bankrupt economic analysis the group puts forth, which contains no analytical rigor, and assumes the economy can bounce immediately to full capacity and the "end" of a lockdown. Utter absurdity. drive.google.com/file/d/1ZDcal5…
There is no evidence of a deadly epidemic in the community....